La escuela de los momios

New York Mets v Kansas City Royals

Inicio: 2026-07-09 17:11 UTC

Final: New York Mets 7–3 Kansas City Royals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Predicción 55.83%1.79momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -0.989%
Kelly -2.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.09%55.84%55.92%57.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.701.701.7660.98%58.70%58.82%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 44.17%2.26momio equitativo
EV -0.615%
Ventaja -0.273%
Kelly -0.492%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.71%44.16%44.08%45.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.172.182.2548.78%46.03%45.87%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.74%E -0.989%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-09 16:30
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.74%E -0.989%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 16:39
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.30%E -1.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.94%E -0.874%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-09 17:04
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.30%E -1.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 14:29
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.30%E -1.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.47%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.30%E -1.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 14:24
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.615%E -0.273%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-09 14:30
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.615%E -0.273%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-09 14:27
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.94%E -0.874%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-09 14:30
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.94%E -0.874%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-09 14:29
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 14:25
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 15:34
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 14:30
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 16:35
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.97%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 16:40
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.97%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.97%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-09 17:10
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -0.615%E -0.273%K -0.492%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-09 15:50
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 15:30
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.71%E -1.70%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 14:30
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.15%E -1.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 16:59
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:29
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 14:30
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 14:30
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 14:30
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.47%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 14:24
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.47%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 16:24
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 17:09
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 14:55
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 15:49
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 15:50
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 14:59
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.71%E -1.70%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:00
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.15%E -1.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 15:19
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 14:30
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:05
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:04
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 17:00
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 14:55
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 14:29
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 16:05
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 14:59
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 15:00
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:49
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:50
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:49
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:49
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:50
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:50
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:49
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:49
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:50
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -1.06%E -0.472%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 14:54
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 15:04
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 14:44
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 17:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 14:54
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 17:10
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.88%E -4.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 15:00
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -7.88%E -4.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-09 15:49
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -8.44%E -5.15%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 16:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-07-09 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-09 17:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-09 16:55
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-07-09 16:45
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-09 17:08
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.6%2026-07-09 17:10
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%2.0%2026-07-09 17:10
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-07-09 17:10