Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

New York Mets v Kansas City Royals

Inizio: 2026-07-09 17:11 UTC

Finale: New York Mets 7–3 Kansas City Royals

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

New York Mets (Casa)

Previsione 55.83%1.79quota equa
EV -1.74%
Vantaggio -0.989%
Kelly -2.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.76

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.09%55.84%55.92%57.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.641.701.701.7660.98%58.70%58.82%56.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.17%2.26quota equa
EV -0.615%
Vantaggio -0.273%
Kelly -0.492%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.71%44.16%44.08%45.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.172.182.2548.78%46.03%45.87%44.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: New York Mets (Casa): 55.83%; Kansas City Royals (Trasferta): 44.17%. Per Kansas City Royals (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.26. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.25, con un valore atteso del -0.615%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.74%E -0.989%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-09 16:30
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.74%E -0.989%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 16:39
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.30%E -1.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.94%E -0.874%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-09 17:04
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.30%E -1.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 14:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.30%E -1.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.47%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.30%E -1.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 14:24
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.615%E -0.273%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-09 14:30
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.615%E -0.273%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-09 14:27
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.94%E -0.874%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-09 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.94%E -0.874%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-09 14:29
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 15:34
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 14:30
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 16:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.97%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.97%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.97%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-09 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -0.615%E -0.273%K -0.492%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-09 15:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 15:30
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.71%E -1.70%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 14:30
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.15%E -1.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 16:59
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:29
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 14:30
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.47%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 14:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.47%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 16:24
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 17:09
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 15:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 15:50
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 14:59
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.71%E -1.70%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:00
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.15%E -1.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 15:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 14:30
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:05
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:04
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 17:00
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 14:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 14:29
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 16:05
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 14:59
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:50
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:49
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:49
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:50
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:50
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:49
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:50
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -1.06%E -0.472%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 14:54
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 15:04
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 14:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 17:00
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 14:54
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.88%E -4.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 15:00
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -7.88%E -4.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-09 15:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -8.44%E -5.15%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 16:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-07-09 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-09 17:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-09 16:55
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-07-09 16:45
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-09 17:08
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.6%2026-07-09 17:10
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%2.0%2026-07-09 17:10
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-07-09 17:10