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New York Mets v Houston Astros

2026-08-30 19:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Mets (Local)

Prediction 52.53%1.90fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.662%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.66%52.53%52.63%53.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.831.831.8856.82%54.66%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 47.47%2.11fair odd
EV -0.313%
Edge -0.149%
Kelly -0.284%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.56%47.47%47.37%49.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.992.002.1053.48%50.33%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New York Mets (Local): 52.53%; Houston Astros (Visit): 47.47%. For Houston Astros (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.10, with an expected value of -0.313%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.24%E -0.662%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.69%E -1.31%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -1.24%E -0.662%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -1.24%E -0.662%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -1.24%E -0.662%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -1.24%E -0.662%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.24%E -0.662%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.38%E -4.34%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 22:40
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.24%E -0.662%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.38%E -4.34%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.24%E -0.662%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.38%E -4.34%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 22:40
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.24%E -0.662%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.38%E -4.34%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.24%E -0.662%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.38%E -4.34%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 22:40
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.24%E -0.662%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.38%E -4.34%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 22:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.77%E -0.946%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.69%E -1.31%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 20:35
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -1.77%E -0.946%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -8.38%E -4.34%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 22:54
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.82%E -1.52%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -2.82%E -1.52%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -9.33%E -4.89%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -2.82%E -1.52%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -9.33%E -4.89%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 22:40
GTbets🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.35%E -1.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.787%E -0.377%K -0.722%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-30 00:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -3.35%E -1.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -1.26%E -0.607%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-30 00:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -3.35%E -1.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -1.26%E -0.607%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-30 00:15
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.87%E -2.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.313%E -0.149%K -0.284%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 01:09
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.87%E -2.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 18:50
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.87%E -2.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.59%E -2.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 18:55
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.87%E -2.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 19:15
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.87%E -2.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 19:25
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.87%E -2.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 19:24
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.87%E -2.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.01%E -3.03%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 01:10
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 19:25
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 01:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.53%E -2.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 22:10
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.92%E -2.72%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 01:10
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -4.92%E -2.72%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -11.23%E -6.01%K -12.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.69%E -1.31%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.69%E -1.31%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 19:05
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 19:25
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:50
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 19:25
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 20:00
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 01:15
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 19:24
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 19:23
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.97%E -3.34%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.53%E -2.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 19:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.50%E -3.65%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 01:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -7.55%E -4.29%K -9.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 01:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -7.55%E -4.29%K -9.93%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-08-30 01:15
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-30 00:40
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-08-30 01:15
Novig◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%2.3%2026-08-30 01:10
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 52.47%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%10.2%2026-08-29 19:25