Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-08-30 19:11 UTC

Final: New York Mets 3–6 Houston Astros

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 53.44%1.87odd justa
EV -2.20%
Vantagem -1.20%
Kelly -2.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.41%53.44%54.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.721.791.781.8358.14%56.00%56.18%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 46.56%2.15odd justa
EV +0.570%
Vantagem +0.264%
Kelly +0.491%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.45%46.59%46.56%48.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.942.042.052.1651.55%48.95%48.78%46.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Mets (Local): 53.44%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 46.56%. Para Houston Astros (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.15. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.16, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.570%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -3.81%E -2.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV +0.570%E +0.264%K +0.491%G +0.003%1.9%2026-08-30 19:10
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.81%E -2.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.104%E +0.048%K +0.090%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-30 18:00
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -3.27%E -1.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.362%E -0.169%K -0.317%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-30 18:59
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.76%E -0.833%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-30 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.22%E -1.06%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 12:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.22%E -1.06%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.22%E -1.06%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 18:55
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.22%E -1.06%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 01:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.22%E -1.06%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 12:04
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.22%E -1.06%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 17:59
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.22%E -1.06%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 04:42
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.81%E -2.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.22%E -1.06%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 19:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.41%E -3.06%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.22%E -1.06%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 18:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.48%E -3.70%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.22%E -1.06%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 17:55
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -3.27%E -1.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -2.69%E -1.29%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 19:00
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -5.95%E -3.38%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -2.69%E -1.29%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 19:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.34%E -2.43%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.16%E -1.52%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 19:03
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.62%E -1.75%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.95%E -3.38%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.09%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 19:09
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.81%E -2.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.55%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 17:00
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.81%E -2.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.55%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 10:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.81%E -2.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.55%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 10:29
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.81%E -2.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.55%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 10:29
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.88%E -2.74%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.55%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 12:05
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.88%E -2.74%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.55%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 12:20
betfred_uk🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.41%E -3.06%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.55%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.41%E -3.06%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.55%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.41%E -3.06%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.55%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 19:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.95%E -3.38%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.55%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.48%E -3.70%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.55%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 19:00
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.48%E -3.70%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.55%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.48%E -3.70%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.55%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 12:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.48%E -3.70%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.55%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 12:19
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.55%E -4.36%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.55%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 19:05
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.81%E -2.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.02%E -2.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 12:15
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.81%E -2.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.02%E -2.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 17:10
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.88%E -2.74%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.48%E -2.70%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:00
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.88%E -2.74%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.48%E -2.70%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.95%E -2.94%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.81%E -2.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.95%E -2.94%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 10:29
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.81%E -2.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.95%E -2.94%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 10:29
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.34%E -2.43%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.95%E -2.94%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.88%E -2.74%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.95%E -2.94%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.88%E -2.74%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.95%E -2.94%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 19:10
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.88%E -2.74%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.95%E -2.94%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.88%E -2.74%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.95%E -2.94%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 19:10
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.88%E -2.74%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.95%E -2.94%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.88%E -2.74%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.95%E -2.94%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 19:10
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.81%E -2.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.88%E -3.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 19:10
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.81%E -2.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.88%E -3.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 19:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.81%E -2.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.88%E -3.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 19:10
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.81%E -2.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.88%E -3.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 01:55
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.41%E -3.06%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.88%E -3.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 19:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.41%E -3.06%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.88%E -3.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 18:15
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.48%E -3.70%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.88%E -3.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.08%E -4.70%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.88%E -3.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 19:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.88%E -2.74%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.81%E -3.95%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -5.95%E -3.38%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -7.81%E -3.95%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 19:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -5.95%E -3.38%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -7.81%E -3.95%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 19:10
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -5.95%E -3.38%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -8.28%E -4.20%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 19:10
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -6.48%E -3.70%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -8.74%E -4.46%K -9.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 19:10
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.81%E -2.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.21%E -4.72%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 19:03
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.81%E -2.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.21%E -4.72%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 19:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.86%EV -7.55%E -4.36%K -10.34%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.14%EV -9.67%E -4.99%K -10.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 19:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.85I 54.05%NM 54.43%2.21I 45.25%NM 45.57%-0.7%2026-08-30 19:09
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%0.1%2026-08-30 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-08-30 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-08-30 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-08-30 19:05
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-30 12:45
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-30 00:40
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-08-30 19:10
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-08-30 19:10
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%5.1%2026-08-30 19:10