StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

New York Mets v Houston Astros

2026-08-30 19:11 UTC — MLB

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

New York Mets (Heim)

Prognose 52.62%1.90faire Quote
EV -1.07%
Vorteil -0.569%
Kelly -1.22%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.88

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
51.57%52.66%52.63%53.44%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.761.821.821.8856.82%54.99%54.95%53.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Houston Astros (Auswärts)

Prognose 47.38%2.11faire Quote
EV -0.506%
Vorteil -0.241%
Kelly -0.460%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
46.56%47.34%47.37%48.43%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.912.002.002.1052.36%49.96%50.00%47.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: New York Mets (Heim): 52.62%; Houston Astros (Auswärts): 47.38%. Für Houston Astros (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.11. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.10, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.506%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.07%E -0.569%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.88%E -1.40%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 22:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.60%E -0.854%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.88%E -1.40%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 01:30
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 01:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 01:30
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 22:55
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.67%E -3.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 02:10
GTbets🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.18%E -1.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.980%E -0.469%K -0.899%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-30 00:15
BetUS🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.18%E -1.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.980%E -0.469%K -0.899%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-30 01:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -3.18%E -1.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -1.45%E -0.699%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-30 00:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -3.18%E -1.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -1.45%E -0.699%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-30 00:15
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.70%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.506%E -0.241%K -0.460%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 01:09
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.70%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.30%E -2.13%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 18:50
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.70%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.77%E -2.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 18:55
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.70%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 19:25
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.70%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 19:24
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.70%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.19%E -3.13%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 01:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.70%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.67%E -3.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 01:30
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.70%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.67%E -3.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 01:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.70%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.67%E -3.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 01:30
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.70%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.67%E -3.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 01:30
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.70%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.67%E -3.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 01:30
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.70%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.67%E -3.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 01:30
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.70%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.14%E -3.64%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 01:30
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.23%E -2.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.30%E -2.13%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 19:25
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.23%E -2.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 01:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.23%E -2.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.72%E -2.87%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 22:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.23%E -2.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.23%E -2.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 01:30
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.75%E -2.63%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.30%E -2.13%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 01:10
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.88%E -1.40%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 01:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.88%E -1.40%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.88%E -1.40%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 19:05
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 19:25
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:50
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 19:25
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 20:00
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 01:15
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 01:55
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 19:24
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 19:23
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.81%E -3.24%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.72%E -2.87%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 19:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.33%E -3.56%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.30%E -2.13%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 01:19
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.76%EV -6.33%E -3.56%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -9.51%E -4.98%K -10.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 01:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -7.39%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 01:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -7.39%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -8.09%E -4.17%K -8.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 20:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-30 00:40
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-08-30 02:00
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-08-30 02:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-08-30 01:15
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 52.47%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%10.2%2026-08-29 19:25