Language:English
New York Mets v Boston Red Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 56.69%1.76fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.12%56.78%56.69%59.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.681.681.7364.52%59.69%59.52%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Red Sox (Visit)
Prediction 43.31%2.31fair odd
EV +0.040%
Edge +0.017%
Kelly +0.030%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.79%43.22%43.31%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.212.3148.78%45.25%45.25%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 56.69%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 43.31%. For Boston Red Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.309. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.310, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.040%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV +0.040%E +0.017%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-10 23:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.49%E -1.45%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.26%E -0.552%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-10 22:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -1.92%E -1.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.69%E -0.746%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-10 22:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.13%E -0.941%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-10 22:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.49%E -1.45%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-10 22:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.49%E -1.45%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-10 22:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.49%E -1.45%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-10 23:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-10 22:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-10 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -12.13%E -7.82%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-10 23:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.42%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-10 23:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.42%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-10 23:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.72%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -3.42%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.86%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 22:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 22:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 23:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 22:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 22:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 22:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 23:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 23:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 22:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 22:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.59%E -2.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 22:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 23:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-10 22:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -8.19%E -3.86%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-10 23:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-10 23:33 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-10 23:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -11.22%E -5.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-10 23:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-07-10 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-07-10 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-07-10 23:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-07-10 23:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-07-10 23:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-10 23:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-10 22:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-07-10 23:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87% | 6.4% | 2026-07-10 23:35 |
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