مدرسة الاحتمالات

New York Mets v Boston Red Sox

البداية: 2026-07-10 23:50 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: New York Mets 2–6 Boston Red Sox

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

New York Mets (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.69%1.76السعر العادل
EV -1.92%
الأفضلية -1.11%
Kelly -2.63%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.73

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.12%56.78%56.69%59.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.551.681.681.7364.52%59.69%59.52%57.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Boston Red Sox (الضيف)

التنبؤ 43.31%2.31السعر العادل
EV +0.040%
الأفضلية +0.017%
Kelly +0.030%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.79%43.22%43.31%44.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.212.212.3148.78%45.25%45.25%43.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV +0.040%E +0.017%K +0.030%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 23:44
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.49%E -1.45%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.26%E -0.552%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-10 22:25
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -1.92%E -1.11%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.69%E -0.746%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-10 22:24
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.13%E -0.941%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-10 22:29
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.49%E -1.45%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 22:24
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.49%E -1.45%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 22:20
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.49%E -1.45%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 23:19
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-10 22:49
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-10 22:20
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-10 22:55
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:49
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 22:49
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 22:49
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 22:49
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 22:49
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -12.13%E -7.82%K -22.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-10 23:39
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.42%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-10 23:19
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.42%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-10 23:19
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.72%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -3.42%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 22:49
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.86%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 22:19
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 23:39
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:20
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 23:14
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:29
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:19
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:19
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:49
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 23:14
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 19:25
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 23:14
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:25
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:25
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:24
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:25
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.59%E -2.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:54
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:54
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:20
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 23:29
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 23:39
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 22:20
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -8.19%E -3.86%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 23:29
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 23:19
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 23:33
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-10 23:38
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -11.22%E -5.47%K -10.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-10 23:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (9)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-10 23:40
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-10 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-10 23:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-10 23:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-10 23:44
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-10 23:15
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-10 22:20
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-07-10 23:20
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%6.4%2026-07-10 23:35