La escuela de los momios

New York Mets v Boston Red Sox

Inicio: 2026-07-10 23:50 UTC

Final: New York Mets 2–6 Boston Red Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Predicción 56.69%1.76momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -2.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.12%56.78%56.69%59.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.681.681.7364.52%59.69%59.52%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 43.31%2.31momio equitativo
EV +0.040%
Ventaja +0.017%
Kelly +0.030%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.79%43.22%43.31%44.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.212.212.3148.78%45.25%45.25%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV +0.040%E +0.017%K +0.030%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 23:44
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.49%E -1.45%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.26%E -0.552%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-10 22:25
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -1.92%E -1.11%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.69%E -0.746%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-10 22:24
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.13%E -0.941%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-10 22:29
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.49%E -1.45%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 22:24
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.49%E -1.45%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 22:20
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.49%E -1.45%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 23:19
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-10 22:49
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-10 22:20
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-10 22:55
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:49
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 22:49
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 22:49
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 22:49
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 22:49
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -12.13%E -7.82%K -22.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-10 23:39
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.42%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-10 23:19
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.42%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-10 23:19
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.72%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -3.42%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 22:49
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.86%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 22:19
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 23:39
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:20
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 23:14
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:29
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:19
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:19
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:49
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 23:14
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 19:25
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 23:14
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:25
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:25
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:24
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:25
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.59%E -2.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:54
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:54
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:20
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 23:29
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 23:39
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 22:20
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -8.19%E -3.86%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 23:29
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 23:19
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 23:33
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-10 23:38
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -11.22%E -5.47%K -10.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-10 23:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-10 23:40
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-10 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-10 23:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-10 23:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-10 23:44
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-10 23:15
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-10 22:20
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-07-10 23:20
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%6.4%2026-07-10 23:35