L’École des cotes

New York Mets v Boston Red Sox

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-10 23:50 UTC

Score final : New York Mets 2–6 Boston Red Sox

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Prévision 56.69%1.76cote équitable
EV -1.92%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -2.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.12%56.78%56.69%59.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.681.681.7364.52%59.69%59.52%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boston Red Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.31%2.31cote équitable
EV +0.040%
Avantage +0.017%
Kelly +0.030%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.79%43.22%43.31%44.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.212.212.3148.78%45.25%45.25%43.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV +0.040%E +0.017%K +0.030%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 23:44
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.49%E -1.45%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.26%E -0.552%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-10 22:25
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -1.92%E -1.11%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.69%E -0.746%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-10 22:24
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.13%E -0.941%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-10 22:29
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.49%E -1.45%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 22:24
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.49%E -1.45%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 22:20
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.49%E -1.45%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 23:19
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-10 22:49
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-10 22:20
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-10 22:55
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:49
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 22:49
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 22:49
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 22:49
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 22:49
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -12.13%E -7.82%K -22.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-10 23:39
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.42%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-10 23:19
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.42%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-10 23:19
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.72%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -3.42%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 22:49
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.86%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 22:19
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 23:39
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:20
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 23:14
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:29
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:19
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:19
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:49
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 23:14
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 19:25
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 23:14
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:25
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:25
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:24
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:25
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.59%E -2.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:54
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:54
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:20
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 23:29
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 23:39
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 22:20
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -8.19%E -3.86%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 23:29
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 23:19
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 23:33
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-10 23:38
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -11.22%E -5.47%K -10.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-10 23:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-10 23:40
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-10 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-10 23:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-10 23:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-10 23:44
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-10 23:15
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-10 22:20
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-07-10 23:20
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%6.4%2026-07-10 23:35