Language:English
New York Mets v Atlanta Braves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 38.16%2.62fair odd
EV -0.775%
Edge -0.298%
Kelly -0.485%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.74%38.12%38.21%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.462.472.6043.86%40.64%40.49%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlanta Braves (Visit)
Prediction 61.84%1.62fair odd
EV +0.175%
Edge +0.108%
Kelly +0.283%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%61.88%61.79%63.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.551.6266.67%64.41%64.52%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 38.16%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 61.84%. For Atlanta Braves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.617. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.620, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.175%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -12.22%E -5.31%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +0.175%E +0.108%K +0.283%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -7.26%E -2.99%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -0.443%E -0.275%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.06%E -0.663%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.06%E -0.663%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.30%E -0.899%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.68%E -1.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -3.07%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -1.68%E -1.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-29 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -3.45%E -1.36%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -1.68%E -1.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -3.45%E -1.36%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -1.68%E -1.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.83%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.83%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-29 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -9.17%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -9.17%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.775%E -0.298%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.35%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 21:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.35%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 22:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-29 22:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -9.17%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -9.17%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -11.46%E -4.94%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.74%E -2.32%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 21:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.68%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.07%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.35%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.35%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.35%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 21:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.17%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 21:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.22%E -5.31%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.16%EV -12.99%E -5.70%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.84%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.68%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.01%E -3.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.01%E -3.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.775%E -0.298%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.68%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.68%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 23:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-29 23:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.21% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.79% | -0.1% | 2026-07-29 23:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62% | 1.7% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53% | 1.9% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53% | 1.9% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68% | 2.3% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
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