Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

New York Mets v Atlanta Braves

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-29 23:11 UTC

Score final : New York Mets 0–1 Atlanta Braves

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

New York Mets (Local)

Prévision 38.16%2.62cote équitable
EV -0.775%
Avantage -0.298%
Kelly -0.485%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.74%38.12%38.21%41.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.282.462.472.6043.86%40.64%40.49%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.84%1.62cote équitable
EV +0.175%
Avantage +0.108%
Kelly +0.283%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.67%61.88%61.79%63.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.551.551.6266.67%64.41%64.52%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : New York Mets (Local) : 38.16% ; Atlanta Braves (Visiteur) : 61.84%. Pour Atlanta Braves (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.617. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.620, soit une espérance positive de +0.175%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -12.22%E -5.31%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +0.175%E +0.108%K +0.283%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 20:50
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -7.26%E -2.99%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -0.443%E -0.275%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-29 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.06%E -0.663%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 23:10
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.06%E -0.663%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 23:10
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.30%E -0.899%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.68%E -1.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-29 22:55
GTbets🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -3.07%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -1.68%E -1.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 23:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -3.45%E -1.36%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -1.68%E -1.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-29 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -3.45%E -1.36%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -1.68%E -1.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-29 23:10
BetAnything🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.83%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-29 23:10
BetUS🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.83%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-29 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 22:55
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -9.17%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -9.17%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:10
Pinnacle🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.775%E -0.298%K -0.485%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-29 23:10
ReBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-29 22:10
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-29 23:00
FanDuel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.35%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 21:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.35%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 22:14
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 23:10
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 23:10
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 22:10
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 22:09
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 23:10
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 22:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -9.17%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -9.17%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 23:10
Bally Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -11.46%E -4.94%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-29 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 23:05
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 23:05
SportsBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.74%E -2.32%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 22:10
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.68%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 23:10
Bovada🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.07%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 23:05
DraftKings🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 23:05
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.35%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 22:55
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.35%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:05
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.35%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 23:00
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 22:50
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 21:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 21:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 21:25
Dabble (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 21:40
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 23:10
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.17%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 21:20
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.22%E -5.31%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-29 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.16%EV -12.99%E -5.70%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.84%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-29 23:10
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.68%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.01%E -3.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.01%E -3.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 23:10
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.775%E -0.298%K -0.485%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.68%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 22:10
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.68%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 23:10
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 23:10
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 23:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎2.62I 38.17%NM 38.21%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.79%-0.1%2026-07-29 23:09
Polymarket◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-07-29 23:10
Novig◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62%1.7%2026-07-29 23:10
Smarkets◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%1.9%2026-07-29 23:10
ProphetX◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%1.9%2026-07-29 23:10
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.0%2026-07-29 23:00
Matchbook◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.3%2026-07-29 23:10