Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets v Atlanta Braves

Início: 2026-07-29 23:11 UTC

Final: New York Mets 0–1 Atlanta Braves

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 38.16%2.62odd justa
EV -0.775%
Vantagem -0.298%
Kelly -0.485%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.74%38.12%38.21%41.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.282.462.472.6043.86%40.64%40.49%38.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Previsão 61.84%1.62odd justa
EV +0.175%
Vantagem +0.108%
Kelly +0.283%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.67%61.88%61.79%63.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.551.551.6266.67%64.41%64.52%61.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Mets (Local): 38.16%; Atlanta Braves (Visitante): 61.84%. Para Atlanta Braves (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.617. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.620, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.175%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -12.22%E -5.31%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +0.175%E +0.108%K +0.283%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 20:50
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -7.26%E -2.99%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -0.443%E -0.275%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-29 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.06%E -0.663%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 23:10
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.06%E -0.663%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 23:10
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.30%E -0.899%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.68%E -1.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-29 22:55
GTbets🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -3.07%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -1.68%E -1.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 23:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -3.45%E -1.36%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -1.68%E -1.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-29 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -3.45%E -1.36%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -1.68%E -1.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-29 23:10
BetAnything🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.83%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-29 23:10
BetUS🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.83%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-29 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 22:55
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -9.17%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -9.17%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:10
Pinnacle🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.775%E -0.298%K -0.485%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-29 23:10
ReBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-29 22:10
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-29 23:00
FanDuel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.35%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 21:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.35%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 22:14
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 23:10
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 23:10
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 22:10
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 22:09
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 23:10
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 22:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -9.17%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -9.17%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 23:10
Bally Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -11.46%E -4.94%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-29 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 23:05
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 23:05
SportsBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.74%E -2.32%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 22:10
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.68%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 23:10
Bovada🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.07%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 23:05
DraftKings🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 23:05
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.35%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 22:55
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.35%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:05
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.35%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 23:00
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 22:50
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 21:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 21:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 21:25
Dabble (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 21:40
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 23:10
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.17%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 21:20
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.22%E -5.31%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-29 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.16%EV -12.99%E -5.70%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.84%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-29 23:10
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.68%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.01%E -3.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.01%E -3.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 23:10
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.775%E -0.298%K -0.485%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.68%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 22:10
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.68%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 23:10
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 23:10
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 23:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.62I 38.17%NM 38.21%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.79%-0.1%2026-07-29 23:09
Polymarket◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-07-29 23:10
Novig◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62%1.7%2026-07-29 23:10
Smarkets◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%1.9%2026-07-29 23:10
ProphetX◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%1.9%2026-07-29 23:10
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.0%2026-07-29 23:00
Matchbook◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.3%2026-07-29 23:10