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New York Mets v Atlanta Braves
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
New York Mets (Local)
Predicción 38.16%2.62momio equitativo
EV -0.775%
Ventaja -0.298%
Kelly -0.485%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.74%38.12%38.21%41.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.282.462.472.6043.86%40.64%40.49%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Atlanta Braves (Visitante)
Predicción 61.84%1.62momio equitativo
EV +0.175%
Ventaja +0.108%
Kelly +0.283%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.67%61.88%61.79%63.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.551.551.6266.67%64.41%64.52%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Mets (Local): 38.16%; Atlanta Braves (Visitante): 61.84%. Para Atlanta Braves (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.617. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.620, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.175%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -12.22%E -5.31%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +0.175%E +0.108%K +0.283%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -7.26%E -2.99%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -0.443%E -0.275%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.06%E -0.663%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.06%E -0.663%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.30%E -0.899%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.68%E -1.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -3.07%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -1.68%E -1.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-29 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -3.45%E -1.36%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -1.68%E -1.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -3.45%E -1.36%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -1.68%E -1.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.83%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.83%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-29 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -9.17%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -9.17%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.775%E -0.298%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.35%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 21:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.35%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 22:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-29 22:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -9.17%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -9.17%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -11.46%E -4.94%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.74%E -2.32%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 21:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.68%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.07%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.21%E -1.68%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.35%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.35%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.35%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 21:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 21:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.17%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 21:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.22%E -5.31%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.16%EV -12.99%E -5.70%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.84%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.68%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.01%E -3.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.01%E -3.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.775%E -0.298%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.68%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.68%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 23:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-29 23:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.21% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.79% | -0.1% | 2026-07-29 23:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62% | 1.7% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53% | 1.9% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53% | 1.9% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68% | 2.3% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |