Language:English
New York Mets v Atlanta Braves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 40.81%2.45fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.509%
Kelly -0.867%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.55%40.86%40.81%42.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.342.352.4244.44%42.71%42.55%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlanta Braves (Visit)
Prediction 59.19%1.69fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.694%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.84%59.14%59.19%60.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.611.611.6764.10%61.94%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 40.81%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 59.19%. For Atlanta Braves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.67, with an expected value of -1.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.23%E -0.509%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.05%E -0.853%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-28 16:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.05%E -0.853%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-28 14:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.05%E -0.853%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-28 17:38 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.05%E -0.853%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:43 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.46%E -1.03%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-28 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.46%E -1.03%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-28 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -2.46%E -1.03%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-28 17:32 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -2.86%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.16%E -0.694%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-28 17:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.86%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.93%E -1.79%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-28 14:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.86%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 15:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.86%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 15:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.86%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.27%E -1.38%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.27%E -1.38%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 11:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.27%E -1.38%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 11:03 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.68%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 17:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-28 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 15:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 11:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 11:08 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 17:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 05:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 06:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 11:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 11:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:38 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 06:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 06:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 06:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 15:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 15:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 15:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 11:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.89%E -3.71%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 06:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.50%E -1.92%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 11:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.50%E -1.92%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 11:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.50%E -1.92%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 17:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.90%E -2.10%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 11:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 11:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 16:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 11:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 11:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 17:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 11:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 11:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 11:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 11:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 17:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.49%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.95%E -3.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.67%E -4.92%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-28 15:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -7.35%E -3.24%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -7.35%E -3.24%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.17%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.93%E -1.79%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.17%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.93%E -1.79%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 11:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.17%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 15:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62% | -0.2% | 2026-07-28 17:29 |
| Novig◎ | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 15:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 1.9% | 2026-07-28 17:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.0% | 2026-07-28 17:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95% | 2.3% | 2026-07-28 17:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 17:40 |
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