The School of Odds

New York Mets v Atlanta Braves

2026-07-28 23:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Prediction 41.55%2.41fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.645%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.45%41.46%41.62%42.29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.152.302.302.3746.51%43.46%43.48%42.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Atlanta Braves (Visit)

Prediction 58.45%1.71fair odd
EV -0.634%
Edge -0.373%
Kelly -0.905%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.71%58.54%58.38%59.55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.561.631.621.7064.10%61.50%61.73%58.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.53%E -0.645%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.39%E -1.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.53%E -0.645%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 20:05
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.53%E -0.645%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 20:00
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.94%E -0.824%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.39%E -1.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-27 17:50
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.94%E -0.824%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.39%E -1.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-27 17:50
FanDuel2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -1.94%E -0.824%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 17:50
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -1.94%E -0.824%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 19:00
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.36%E -1.00%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.73%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 17:50
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.36%E -1.00%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 20:04
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -3.61%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -0.634%E -0.373%K -0.905%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-27 18:20
MyBookie.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.61%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 18:14
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.61%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 18:10
SportsBet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -4.02%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -7.06%E -4.44%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 17:50
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 17:50
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 18:10
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 20:29
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 20:00
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 20:00
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.73%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 20:05
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:10
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:10
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:10
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:55
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:10
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:10
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:20
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 17:50
Betsson2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.68%E -2.50%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.73%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 20:04
NordicBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.68%E -2.50%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.73%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 20:05
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -5.68%E -2.50%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 18:10
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.51%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 18:20
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.51%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 18:09
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%EV -8.59%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -7.06%E -4.44%K -11.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 18:10
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.67%E -4.96%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-27 18:10
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.67%E -4.96%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.82%E -5.65%K -15.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-27 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%1.0%2026-07-27 20:25
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-27 17:50
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-27 20:25
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%10.0%2026-07-27 18:10