Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets v Atlanta Braves

Início: 2026-07-28 23:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 40.81%2.45odd justa
EV -1.23%
Vantagem -0.509%
Kelly -0.867%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.55%40.86%40.81%42.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.342.352.4244.44%42.71%42.55%41.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Previsão 59.19%1.69odd justa
EV -1.16%
Vantagem -0.694%
Kelly -1.73%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.84%59.14%59.19%60.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.611.611.6764.10%61.94%62.11%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Mets (Local): 40.81%; Atlanta Braves (Visitante): 59.19%. Para Atlanta Braves (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.69. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.67, com valor esperado de -1.16%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.23%E -0.509%K -0.867%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-28 16:29
GTbets🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.05%E -0.853%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-28 16:24
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.05%E -0.853%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-28 14:50
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.05%E -0.853%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 17:38
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.05%E -0.853%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:43
BetOnline.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.46%E -1.03%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-28 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.46%E -1.03%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-28 16:25
Bovada🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -2.46%E -1.03%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 17:32
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -2.86%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.16%E -0.694%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-28 17:40
BetAnything🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.86%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.93%E -1.79%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-28 14:50
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.86%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 15:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.86%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 15:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.86%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 06:19
BetUS🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.27%E -1.38%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-28 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.27%E -1.38%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 11:04
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.27%E -1.38%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 11:03
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.68%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 17:50
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-28 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 15:19
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 11:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 11:08
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 17:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 05:05
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 06:09
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 11:04
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 11:04
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 15:39
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 15:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 15:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 15:39
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 15:38
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 15:39
888sport🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 06:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 06:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 06:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 15:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 15:40
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 15:39
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 11:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.89%E -3.71%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 06:29
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 17:20
SportsBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.50%E -1.92%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 11:14
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.50%E -1.92%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 11:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.50%E -1.92%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 17:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.90%E -2.10%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 11:04
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 11:05
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 16:14
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:20
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 11:04
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 11:03
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 17:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 11:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 11:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 11:04
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 11:04
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 17:39
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.49%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-28 14:14
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.95%E -3.05%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.67%E -4.92%K -13.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 15:39
Betsson🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -7.35%E -3.24%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:38
NordicBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -7.35%E -3.24%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:35
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.17%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.93%E -1.79%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.17%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.93%E -1.79%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 11:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.17%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 15:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%-0.2%2026-07-28 17:29
Novig◎2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%0.4%2026-07-28 15:40
Polymarket◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-07-28 07:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-07-28 17:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-07-28 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-07-28 17:35
Matchbook◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%1.9%2026-07-28 17:35
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-07-28 17:35
ProphetX◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.3%2026-07-28 17:44
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%3.7%2026-07-28 17:40