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New York Mets v Atlanta Braves
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
New York Mets (Local)
Predicción 40.81%2.45momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.509%
Kelly -0.867%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.55%40.86%40.81%42.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.342.352.4244.44%42.71%42.55%41.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Atlanta Braves (Visitante)
Predicción 59.19%1.69momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.694%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.84%59.14%59.19%60.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.561.611.611.6764.10%61.94%62.11%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Mets (Local): 40.81%; Atlanta Braves (Visitante): 59.19%. Para Atlanta Braves (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.69. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.67, con un valor esperado de -1.16%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.23%E -0.509%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.05%E -0.853%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-28 16:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.05%E -0.853%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-28 14:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.05%E -0.853%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-28 17:38 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.05%E -0.853%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:43 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.46%E -1.03%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-28 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.46%E -1.03%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-28 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -2.46%E -1.03%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-28 17:32 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -2.86%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.16%E -0.694%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-28 17:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.86%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.93%E -1.79%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-28 14:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.86%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 15:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.86%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 15:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.86%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 06:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.27%E -1.38%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-28 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.27%E -1.38%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 11:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.27%E -1.38%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 11:03 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.68%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 17:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-28 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 15:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 11:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 11:08 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 17:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 05:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 06:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 11:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 11:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:38 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 15:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 06:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 06:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 06:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 15:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 15:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 15:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 11:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.89%E -3.71%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 06:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.09%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.50%E -1.92%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 11:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.50%E -1.92%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 11:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.50%E -1.92%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 17:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.90%E -2.10%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 11:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 11:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 16:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 11:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 11:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 17:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 11:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 11:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 11:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 11:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 17:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.49%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.95%E -3.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.67%E -4.92%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-28 15:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -7.35%E -3.24%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -7.35%E -3.24%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 17:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.17%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.93%E -1.79%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.17%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.93%E -1.79%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 11:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.17%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 15:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62% | -0.2% | 2026-07-28 17:29 |
| Novig◎ | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 15:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 1.9% | 2026-07-28 17:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.0% | 2026-07-28 17:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95% | 2.3% | 2026-07-28 17:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 17:40 |