La escuela de los momios

New York Mets v Atlanta Braves

2026-07-28 23:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

37 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Predicción 41.51%2.41momio equitativo
EV -1.62%
Ventaja -0.682%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.45%41.44%41.53%42.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.302.302.3746.51%43.44%43.48%42.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Predicción 58.49%1.71momio equitativo
EV -0.570%
Ventaja -0.335%
Kelly -0.814%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.71%58.56%58.47%59.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.631.621.7064.10%61.47%61.73%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.62%E -0.682%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.62%E -0.682%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 20:05
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.62%E -0.682%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 20:00
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.03%E -0.861%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-27 17:50
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.03%E -0.861%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-27 17:50
FanDuel2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.03%E -0.861%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 17:50
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.03%E -0.861%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 19:00
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-27 21:15
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 17:50
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 20:04
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -3.69%E -1.59%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -0.570%E -0.335%K -0.814%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-27 18:20
MyBookie.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.69%E -1.59%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 18:14
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.69%E -1.59%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 18:10
SportsBet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -7.00%E -4.40%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 17:50
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 17:50
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 18:10
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 20:29
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 20:00
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 20:00
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 20:05
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:10
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:10
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:10
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:55
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:10
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:10
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:20
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 17:50
Betsson2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.77%E -2.54%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 20:04
NordicBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.77%E -2.54%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 20:05
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -5.77%E -2.54%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 18:10
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 18:20
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 18:09
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -7.00%E -4.40%K -11.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 18:10
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.17%E -5.21%K -14.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-27 18:10
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.76%E -5.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-27 18:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-07-27 21:20
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-27 17:50
Novig2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%1.5%2026-07-27 21:25
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%10.0%2026-07-27 18:10