L’École des cotes

New York Mets v Atlanta Braves

2026-07-28 23:11 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Prévision 41.51%2.41cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -0.682%
Kelly -1.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.45%41.44%41.53%42.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.302.302.3746.51%43.44%43.48%42.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlanta Braves (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.49%1.71cote équitable
EV -0.570%
Avantage -0.335%
Kelly -0.814%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.71%58.56%58.47%59.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.631.621.7064.10%61.47%61.73%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.62%E -0.682%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.62%E -0.682%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 20:05
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.62%E -0.682%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 20:00
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.03%E -0.861%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-27 17:50
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.03%E -0.861%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-27 17:50
FanDuel2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.03%E -0.861%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 17:50
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.03%E -0.861%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 19:00
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-27 21:15
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 17:50
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 20:04
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -3.69%E -1.59%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -0.570%E -0.335%K -0.814%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-27 18:20
MyBookie.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.69%E -1.59%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 18:14
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.69%E -1.59%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 18:10
SportsBet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -7.00%E -4.40%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 17:50
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 17:50
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 18:10
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 20:29
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 20:00
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 20:00
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 20:05
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:10
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:10
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:10
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:55
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:10
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:10
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:20
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 17:50
Betsson2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.77%E -2.54%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 20:04
NordicBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.77%E -2.54%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 20:05
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -5.77%E -2.54%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 18:10
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 18:20
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 18:09
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -7.00%E -4.40%K -11.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 18:10
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.17%E -5.21%K -14.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-27 18:10
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.76%E -5.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-27 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-07-27 21:20
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-27 17:50
Novig2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%1.5%2026-07-27 21:25
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%10.0%2026-07-27 18:10