Language:English
New York Mets v Arizona Diamondbacks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 62.22%1.61fair odd
EV -0.446%
Edge -0.279%
Kelly -0.743%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%62.20%62.35%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.541.6066.67%64.84%64.94%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)
Prediction 37.78%2.65fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.683%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%37.80%37.65%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.512.502.6042.02%39.84%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 62.22%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 37.78%. For New York Mets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.60, with an expected value of -0.446%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.446%E -0.279%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -4.42%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -1.69%E -1.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -2.91%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-09 22:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -1.69%E -1.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -2.91%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -1.69%E -1.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -1.69%E -1.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 22:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.31%E -1.47%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-09 19:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.31%E -1.47%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 18:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.93%E -1.88%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-09 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.93%E -1.88%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.93%E -1.88%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -4.42%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-09 21:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 19:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 19:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 19:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 22:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 22:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 22:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 21:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 23:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.44%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 21:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.44%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 21:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 21:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 19:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 19:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 20:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 19:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 19:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 19:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 22:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 22:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 22:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.01%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.99%EV -8.95%E -3.72%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.78%E -0.683%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 20:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.53%E -0.981%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.53%E -0.981%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 20:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 22:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 19:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 19:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 21:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 22:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -6.05%E -4.00%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -3.29%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 20:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 23:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.34% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 36.66% | -0.1% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 20:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 20:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.4% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80% | 1.8% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98% | 2.1% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |