A Escola das Odds

New York Mets v Arizona Diamondbacks

Início: 2026-04-09 23:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 62.22%1.61odd justa
EV -0.446%
Vantagem -0.279%
Kelly -0.743%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.25%62.20%62.35%62.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.541.541.6066.67%64.84%64.94%62.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Previsão 37.78%2.65odd justa
EV -1.78%
Vantagem -0.683%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.04%37.80%37.65%39.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.382.512.502.6042.02%39.84%40.00%38.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.446%E -0.279%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -4.42%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-09 19:00
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -1.69%E -1.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -2.91%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-09 22:30
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -1.69%E -1.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -2.91%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-09 23:00
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -1.69%E -1.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-09 22:30
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -1.69%E -1.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-09 22:30
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.31%E -1.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-09 19:35
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.31%E -1.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 18:49
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.93%E -1.88%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-09 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.93%E -1.88%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 22:50
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.93%E -1.88%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 22:50
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -4.42%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 21:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 19:15
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 19:15
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 19:15
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:50
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:49
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:49
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:50
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:50
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:50
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:50
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 21:30
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:01
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.44%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 21:15
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.44%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 18:55
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 21:14
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 21:10
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 19:40
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 23:00
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 19:40
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 20:30
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 19:15
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 19:40
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 19:20
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 19:20
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 22:49
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 22:50
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 22:50
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 22:49
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.01%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.99%EV -8.95%E -3.72%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.78%E -0.683%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 20:15
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.53%E -0.981%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:10
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.53%E -0.981%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 20:19
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 22:04
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 19:40
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 20:20
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 19:40
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 19:40
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 22:59
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 21:10
Dabble (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 22:10
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -6.05%E -4.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -3.29%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:09
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 18:55
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 20:45
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 23:03
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.58I 63.29%NM 63.34%2.73I 36.63%NM 36.66%-0.1%2026-04-09 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-09 20:35
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-09 20:05
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-04-09 23:10
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%1.8%2026-04-09 23:00
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-04-09 23:10
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%3.5%2026-04-09 23:10