L’École des cotes

New York Mets v Arizona Diamondbacks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-09 23:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Prévision 62.22%1.61cote équitable
EV -0.446%
Avantage -0.279%
Kelly -0.743%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.25%62.20%62.35%62.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.541.541.6066.67%64.84%64.94%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.78%2.65cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.683%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.04%37.80%37.65%39.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.512.502.6042.02%39.84%40.00%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.446%E -0.279%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -4.42%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-09 19:00
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -1.69%E -1.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -2.91%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-09 22:30
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -1.69%E -1.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -2.91%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-09 23:00
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -1.69%E -1.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-09 22:30
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -1.69%E -1.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-09 22:30
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.31%E -1.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-09 19:35
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.31%E -1.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 18:49
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.93%E -1.88%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-09 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.93%E -1.88%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 22:50
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.93%E -1.88%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 22:50
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -4.42%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 21:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 19:15
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 19:15
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 19:15
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:50
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:49
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:49
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:50
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:50
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:50
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:50
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 21:30
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:01
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.44%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 21:15
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.44%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 18:55
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 21:14
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 21:10
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 19:40
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 23:00
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 19:40
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 20:30
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 19:15
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 19:40
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 19:20
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 19:20
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 22:49
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 22:50
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 22:50
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 22:49
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.01%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.99%EV -8.95%E -3.72%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.78%E -0.683%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 20:15
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.53%E -0.981%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:10
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.53%E -0.981%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 20:19
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 22:04
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 19:40
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 20:20
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 19:40
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 19:40
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 22:59
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 21:10
Dabble (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 22:10
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -6.05%E -4.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -3.29%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:09
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 18:55
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 20:45
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 23:03
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.58I 63.29%NM 63.34%2.73I 36.63%NM 36.66%-0.1%2026-04-09 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-09 20:35
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-09 20:05
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-04-09 23:10
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%1.8%2026-04-09 23:00
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-04-09 23:10
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%3.5%2026-04-09 23:10