La escuela de los momios

New York Mets v Arizona Diamondbacks

Inicio: 2026-04-09 23:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Predicción 62.22%1.61momio equitativo
EV -0.446%
Ventaja -0.279%
Kelly -0.743%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.25%62.20%62.35%62.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.541.541.6066.67%64.84%64.94%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Predicción 37.78%2.65momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -0.683%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.04%37.80%37.65%39.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.512.502.6042.02%39.84%40.00%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.446%E -0.279%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -4.42%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-09 19:00
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -1.69%E -1.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -2.91%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-09 22:30
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -1.69%E -1.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -2.91%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-09 23:00
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -1.69%E -1.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-09 22:30
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -1.69%E -1.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-09 22:30
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.31%E -1.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-09 19:35
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.31%E -1.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 18:49
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.93%E -1.88%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-09 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.93%E -1.88%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 22:50
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.93%E -1.88%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 22:50
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -4.42%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 21:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 19:15
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 19:15
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 19:15
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:50
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:49
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:49
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:50
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:50
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:50
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 22:50
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 21:30
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:01
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.44%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 21:15
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.56%E -2.29%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.44%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 18:55
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 21:14
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 21:10
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 19:40
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 23:00
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 19:40
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 20:30
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 19:15
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 19:40
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 19:20
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 19:20
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 22:49
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 22:50
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 22:50
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 22:49
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.01%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.99%EV -8.95%E -3.72%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.78%E -0.683%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 20:15
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.53%E -0.981%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:10
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.53%E -0.981%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 20:19
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 22:04
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 19:40
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 20:20
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 19:40
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 19:40
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 22:59
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 21:10
Dabble (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 22:10
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -6.05%E -4.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -3.29%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:09
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 18:55
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 20:45
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 23:03
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.58I 63.29%NM 63.34%2.73I 36.63%NM 36.66%-0.1%2026-04-09 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-09 20:35
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-09 20:05
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-04-09 23:10
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%1.8%2026-04-09 23:00
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-04-09 23:10
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%3.5%2026-04-09 23:10