Language:English
Minnesota Twins v Toronto Blue Jays
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Twins (Local)
Prediction 44.22%2.26fair odd
EV +0.832%
Edge +0.365%
Kelly +0.650%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.00%44.53%44.30%46.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.2850.00%46.43%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)
Prediction 55.78%1.79fair odd
EV -0.720%
Edge -0.404%
Kelly -0.923%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.48%55.47%55.70%57.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.721.721.7859.88%58.16%58.14%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 44.22%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 55.78%. For Minnesota Twins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.832%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.832%E +0.365%K +0.650%G +0.005% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 18:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +0.390%E +0.172%K +0.307%G +0.001% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-02 18:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.937%E -0.418%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.39%E -1.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.937%E -0.418%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-02 17:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.82%E -0.821%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.39%E -1.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.82%E -0.821%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.82%E -0.821%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 17:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.15%E -1.44%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.59%E -1.65%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.59%E -1.65%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-02 16:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.59%E -1.65%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.59%E -1.65%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -4.48%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.48%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.74%E -3.40%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.48%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.74%E -3.40%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-02 18:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 17:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 17:22 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 17:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.74%E -3.40%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.36%E -2.50%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.36%E -2.50%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.36%E -2.50%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 18:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -8.01%E -3.85%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.720%E -0.404%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -9.34%E -4.56%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.34%E -4.56%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.39%E -1.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.34%E -4.56%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.55%E -5.78%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.60% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.40% | 0.2% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 0.4% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 1.3% | 2026-05-02 18:09 |
| Novig◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-05-02 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |