La escuela de los momios

Minnesota Twins v Toronto Blue Jays

Inicio: 2026-05-02 18:11 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 4–11 Toronto Blue Jays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Predicción 44.22%2.26momio equitativo
EV +0.832%
Ventaja +0.365%
Kelly +0.650%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.00%44.53%44.30%46.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.2850.00%46.43%46.51%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Predicción 55.78%1.79momio equitativo
EV -0.720%
Ventaja -0.404%
Kelly -0.923%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.48%55.47%55.70%57.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.721.721.7859.88%58.16%58.14%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Everygame2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.832%E +0.365%K +0.650%G +0.005%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 18:09
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +0.390%E +0.172%K +0.307%G +0.001%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-02 18:09
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.937%E -0.418%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.39%E -1.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-02 18:05
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.937%E -0.418%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 17:54
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.82%E -0.821%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.39%E -1.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-02 17:59
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.82%E -0.821%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-02 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.82%E -0.821%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-02 18:10
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 16:45
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 16:45
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 17:15
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 17:25
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 16:55
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 17:40
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.15%E -1.44%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 16:45
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.59%E -1.65%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 17:20
MyBookie.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.59%E -1.65%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 16:49
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.59%E -1.65%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 16:45
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.59%E -1.65%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 18:10
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -4.48%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 16:55
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.48%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.74%E -3.40%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 17:25
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.48%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.74%E -3.40%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 17:25
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 16:45
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 16:45
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 16:45
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 18:09
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 16:45
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:24
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 16:45
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:22
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 17:20
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 17:25
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 17:24
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.74%E -3.40%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:20
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:45
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.36%E -2.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 17:20
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.36%E -2.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 17:20
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.36%E -2.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 18:09
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:05
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:05
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:05
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:30
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:05
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -8.01%E -3.85%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.720%E -0.404%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 18:10
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -9.34%E -4.56%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 18:10
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.34%E -4.56%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.39%E -1.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 17:59
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.34%E -4.56%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 18:10
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.55%E -5.78%K -11.55%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 18:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.29I 43.67%NM 43.60%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.40%0.2%2026-05-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-05-02 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-05-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-05-02 18:10
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-02 18:10
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-05-02 18:09
Novig2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-05-02 18:10
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%1.5%2026-05-02 18:10
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-02 17:00
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-02 18:05