L’École des cotes

Minnesota Twins v Toronto Blue Jays

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 18:11 UTC

Score final : Minnesota Twins 4–11 Toronto Blue Jays

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prévision 44.22%2.26cote équitable
EV +0.832%
Avantage +0.365%
Kelly +0.650%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.00%44.53%44.30%46.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.152.2850.00%46.43%46.51%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.78%1.79cote équitable
EV -0.720%
Avantage -0.404%
Kelly -0.923%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.48%55.47%55.70%57.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.721.721.7859.88%58.16%58.14%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.832%E +0.365%K +0.650%G +0.005%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 18:09
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +0.390%E +0.172%K +0.307%G +0.001%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-02 18:09
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.937%E -0.418%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.39%E -1.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-02 18:05
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.937%E -0.418%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 17:54
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.82%E -0.821%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.39%E -1.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-02 17:59
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.82%E -0.821%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-02 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.82%E -0.821%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-02 18:10
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 16:45
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 16:45
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 17:15
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 17:25
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 16:55
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 17:40
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.15%E -1.44%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 16:45
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.59%E -1.65%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 17:20
MyBookie.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.59%E -1.65%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 16:49
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.59%E -1.65%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 16:45
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.59%E -1.65%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 18:10
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -4.48%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 16:55
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.48%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.74%E -3.40%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 17:25
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.48%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.74%E -3.40%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 17:25
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 16:45
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 16:45
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 16:45
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 18:09
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 16:45
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:24
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 16:45
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:22
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 17:20
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 17:25
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 17:24
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.74%E -3.40%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:20
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:45
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.36%E -2.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 17:20
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.36%E -2.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 17:20
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.36%E -2.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 18:09
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:05
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:05
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:05
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:30
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:05
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -8.01%E -3.85%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.720%E -0.404%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 18:10
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -9.34%E -4.56%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 18:10
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.34%E -4.56%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.39%E -1.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 17:59
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.34%E -4.56%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 18:10
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.55%E -5.78%K -11.55%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 18:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX2.29I 43.67%NM 43.60%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.40%0.2%2026-05-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-05-02 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-05-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-05-02 18:10
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-02 18:10
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-05-02 18:09
Novig2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-05-02 18:10
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%1.5%2026-05-02 18:10
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-02 17:00
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-02 18:05