مدرسة الاحتمالات

Minnesota Twins v Toronto Blue Jays

البداية: 2026-05-02 18:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Minnesota Twins 4–11 Toronto Blue Jays

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Minnesota Twins (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.22%2.26السعر العادل
EV +0.832%
الأفضلية +0.365%
Kelly +0.650%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.28

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.00%44.53%44.30%46.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.152.152.2850.00%46.43%46.51%43.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Toronto Blue Jays (الضيف)

التنبؤ 55.78%1.79السعر العادل
EV -0.720%
الأفضلية -0.404%
Kelly -0.923%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.78

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.48%55.47%55.70%57.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.721.721.7859.88%58.16%58.14%56.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Everygame2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.832%E +0.365%K +0.650%G +0.005%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 18:09
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +0.390%E +0.172%K +0.307%G +0.001%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-02 18:09
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.937%E -0.418%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.39%E -1.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-02 18:05
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.937%E -0.418%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 17:54
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.82%E -0.821%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.39%E -1.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-02 17:59
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.82%E -0.821%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-02 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.82%E -0.821%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-02 18:10
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 16:45
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 16:45
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 17:15
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 17:25
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 16:55
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 17:40
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.15%E -1.44%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 16:45
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.59%E -1.65%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 17:20
MyBookie.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.59%E -1.65%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 16:49
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.59%E -1.65%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 16:45
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.59%E -1.65%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 18:10
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -4.48%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 16:55
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.48%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.74%E -3.40%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 17:25
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.48%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.74%E -3.40%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 17:25
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 16:45
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 16:45
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 16:45
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.07%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 18:09
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 16:45
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:24
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 16:45
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:22
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 17:20
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 17:25
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 17:24
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.74%E -3.40%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:20
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:45
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.36%E -2.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 17:20
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.36%E -2.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 17:20
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.36%E -2.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 18:09
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:05
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:05
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:05
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:30
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:05
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.24%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -8.01%E -3.85%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.720%E -0.404%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 18:10
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -9.34%E -4.56%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 18:10
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.34%E -4.56%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.39%E -1.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 17:59
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.34%E -4.56%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 18:10
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.55%E -5.78%K -11.55%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -2.95%E -1.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 18:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX2.29I 43.67%NM 43.60%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.40%0.2%2026-05-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-05-02 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-05-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-05-02 18:10
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-02 18:10
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-05-02 18:09
Novig2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-05-02 18:10
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%1.5%2026-05-02 18:10
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-02 17:00
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-02 18:05