The School of Odds

Minnesota Twins v Kansas City Royals

2026-07-28 23:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prediction 58.18%1.72fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.642%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.20%58.23%59.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.561.641.641.7064.10%61.04%60.98%58.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Kansas City Royals (Visit)

Prediction 41.82%2.39fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.735%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.91%41.80%41.77%43.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.292.3546.51%44.01%43.57%42.55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.09%E -0.642%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -3.40%E -1.47%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 18:25
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.67%E -0.990%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.56%E -1.10%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 17:55
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.67%E -0.990%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.40%E -1.47%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 17:55
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.67%E -0.990%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.40%E -1.47%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 17:55
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -1.67%E -0.990%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-27 18:25
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.84%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.84%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 17:55
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.42%E -2.06%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.16%E -3.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:30
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.42%E -2.06%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.16%E -3.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:30
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -3.40%E -1.47%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 18:14
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 18:00
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 18:10
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 20:10
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 20:10
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 20:35
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 19:50
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 19:20
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.58%E -2.79%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.24%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 18:10
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.58%E -2.79%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.07%E -2.23%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 18:10
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.16%E -3.17%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.73%E -0.735%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 18:00
FanDuel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -5.16%E -3.17%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.14%E -0.917%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 17:55
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.16%E -3.17%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 18:15
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.75%E -3.55%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.14%E -0.917%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 19:00
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.75%E -3.55%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:15
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.75%E -3.55%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:15
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.75%E -3.55%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:15
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.75%E -3.55%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:15
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.75%E -3.55%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:20
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.75%E -3.55%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 20:29
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.75%E -3.55%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.49%E -2.43%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.75%E -3.55%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 18:20
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.33%E -3.93%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 17:54
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.91%E -4.32%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 17:55
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.91%E -4.32%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.65%E -2.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 17:55
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -7.49%E -4.71%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 17:55
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.65%E -5.51%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.09%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-27 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -9.24%E -5.92%K -16.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.09%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-27 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-27 18:00
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-27 19:50
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%3.6%2026-07-27 20:30
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09%10.0%2026-07-27 18:10