Language:English
Minnesota Twins v Kansas City Royals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Twins (Local)
Prediction 62.20%1.61fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%62.00%62.30%63.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.541.551.5867.11%64.77%64.52%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kansas City Royals (Visit)
Prediction 37.80%2.65fair odd
EV +0.180%
Edge +0.068%
Kelly +0.109%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.90%38.00%37.70%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.502.502.6543.48%40.06%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 62.20%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 37.80%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.645. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.650, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.180%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV +0.180%E +0.068%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV +0.180%E +0.068%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -0.576%E -0.219%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -1.33%E -0.510%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-28 23:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.73%E -1.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -2.47%E -0.956%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-28 23:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.47%E -0.956%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-28 22:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.47%E -0.956%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 22:32 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.46%E -3.59%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -2.47%E -0.956%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 23:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.46%E -3.59%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -2.47%E -0.956%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -2.84%E -1.11%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-28 20:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-28 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 23:38 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 23:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 23:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 21:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.71%E -4.47%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 19:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -4.36%E -1.72%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-28 22:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.46%E -3.59%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.36%E -1.72%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.46%E -3.59%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.36%E -1.72%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 23:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 23:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 22:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 23:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 17:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 22:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 22:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 22:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 22:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 20:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.46%E -3.59%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.08%E -4.03%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.71%E -4.47%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.25%E -2.52%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 17:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.25%E -2.52%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 17:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 21:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 23:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 23:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 23:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 23:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 23:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 23:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -7.33%E -4.92%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -7.76%E -3.18%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.14%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 23:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.14%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 21:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.14%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 23:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.27%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -6.08%E -4.03%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -10.03%E -4.21%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-28 23:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -11.16%E -4.75%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.16%E -4.75%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 23:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.05%E -5.67%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.05%E -5.67%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 21:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 22:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-07-28 22:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 1.8% | 2026-07-28 23:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11% | 2.9% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
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