Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Minnesota Twins v Kansas City Royals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-28 23:41 UTC

Score final : Minnesota Twins 3–2 Kansas City Royals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prévision 62.20%1.61cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -2.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.74%62.00%62.30%63.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.491.541.551.5867.11%64.77%64.52%63.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.80%2.65cote équitable
EV +0.180%
Avantage +0.068%
Kelly +0.109%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.90%38.00%37.70%40.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.502.502.6543.48%40.06%40.00%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Minnesota Twins (Local) : 62.20% ; Kansas City Royals (Visiteur) : 37.80%. Pour Kansas City Royals (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.645. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.650, soit une espérance positive de +0.180%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV +0.180%E +0.068%K +0.109%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-28 23:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV +0.180%E +0.068%K +0.109%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-28 23:39
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -0.576%E -0.219%K -0.353%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-28 23:39
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -1.33%E -0.510%K -0.827%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-28 23:20
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.73%E -1.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -2.47%E -0.956%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 23:04
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.47%E -0.956%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-28 22:34
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.47%E -0.956%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 22:32
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.46%E -3.59%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -2.47%E -0.956%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 23:40
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.46%E -3.59%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -2.47%E -0.956%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 23:39
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -2.84%E -1.11%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 20:49
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-28 22:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 23:38
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 23:39
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 23:25
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 23:24
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 23:39
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 21:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.71%E -4.47%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 19:39
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 23:39
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 23:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -4.36%E -1.72%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 22:38
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.46%E -3.59%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.36%E -1.72%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.46%E -3.59%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.36%E -1.72%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:39
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 23:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 23:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 22:34
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 23:40
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 17:24
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 23:39
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 23:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 22:34
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 22:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 22:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 22:34
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 20:39
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 23:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.46%E -3.59%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.08%E -4.03%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 23:39
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.71%E -4.47%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 23:39
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.25%E -2.52%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 17:25
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.25%E -2.52%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 17:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 23:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 21:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 17:59
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 23:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 23:24
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 23:24
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 23:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 23:25
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 23:24
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -7.33%E -4.92%K -14.95%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -7.76%E -3.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.14%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:25
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.14%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 21:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.14%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:24
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.27%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:39
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -6.08%E -4.03%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -10.03%E -4.21%K -7.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-28 23:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -11.16%E -4.75%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.16%E -4.75%K -8.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.05%E -5.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 23:39
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.05%E -5.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 23:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-07-28 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-07-28 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-07-28 23:29
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-07-28 23:39
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-28 21:59
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-28 22:25
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-28 23:40
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-07-28 22:50
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.8%2026-07-28 23:40
BetOpenly◎1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%2.9%2026-07-28 23:39