默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota Twins v Kansas City Royals

开赛时间: 2026-07-28 23:41 UTC

最终结果: Minnesota Twins 3–2 Kansas City Royals

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota Twins (主队)

预测 62.20%1.61公平赔率
EV -1.73%
优势 -1.10%
Kelly -2.98%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.58

博彩公司预测分布
59.74%62.00%62.30%63.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.491.541.551.5867.11%64.77%64.52%63.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kansas City Royals (客队)

预测 37.80%2.65公平赔率
EV +0.180%
优势 +0.068%
Kelly +0.109%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布
36.90%38.00%37.70%40.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.502.502.6543.48%40.06%40.00%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Minnesota Twins (主队):62.20%;Kansas City Royals (客队):37.80%。 对于“Kansas City Royals (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.645。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.650,对应+0.180%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV +0.180%E +0.068%K +0.109%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-28 23:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV +0.180%E +0.068%K +0.109%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-28 23:39
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -0.576%E -0.219%K -0.353%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-28 23:39
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -1.33%E -0.510%K -0.827%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-28 23:20
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.73%E -1.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -2.47%E -0.956%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 23:04
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.47%E -0.956%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-28 22:34
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.47%E -0.956%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 22:32
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.46%E -3.59%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -2.47%E -0.956%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 23:40
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.46%E -3.59%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -2.47%E -0.956%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 23:39
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -2.84%E -1.11%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 20:49
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-28 22:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 23:38
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 23:39
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 23:25
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 23:24
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 23:39
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 21:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.71%E -4.47%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 19:39
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 23:39
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 23:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -4.36%E -1.72%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 22:38
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.46%E -3.59%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.36%E -1.72%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.46%E -3.59%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.36%E -1.72%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:39
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 23:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 23:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 22:34
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 23:40
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 17:24
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 23:39
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 23:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 22:34
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 22:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 22:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 22:34
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 20:39
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 23:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.46%E -3.59%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.08%E -4.03%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 23:39
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.71%E -4.47%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 23:39
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.25%E -2.52%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 17:25
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.25%E -2.52%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 17:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 23:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 21:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 17:59
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 23:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 23:24
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 23:24
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 23:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 23:25
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 23:24
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -7.33%E -4.92%K -14.95%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -7.76%E -3.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.14%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:25
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.14%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 21:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.14%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:24
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.27%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:39
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -6.08%E -4.03%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -10.03%E -4.21%K -7.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-28 23:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -11.16%E -4.75%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.16%E -4.75%K -8.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.05%E -5.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 23:39
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.05%E -5.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 23:39
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-07-28 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-07-28 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-07-28 23:29
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-07-28 23:39
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-28 21:59
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-28 22:25
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-28 23:40
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-07-28 22:50
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.8%2026-07-28 23:40
BetOpenly◎1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%2.9%2026-07-28 23:39