La escuela de los momios

Minnesota Twins v Kansas City Royals

2026-07-28 23:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

39 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Predicción 58.15%1.72momio equitativo
EV -1.14%
Ventaja -0.673%
Kelly -1.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.18%58.23%59.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.641.641.7064.10%61.01%60.98%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 41.85%2.39momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -0.704%
Kelly -1.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.91%41.82%41.77%43.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.272.302.3546.51%44.00%43.48%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.14%E -0.673%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -3.33%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 18:25
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.73%E -1.02%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.49%E -1.07%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 17:55
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.73%E -1.02%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.33%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 17:55
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.73%E -1.02%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.33%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 17:55
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -1.73%E -1.02%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-27 18:25
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 21:20
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.93%E -3.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.93%E -3.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 17:55
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.47%E -2.09%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.09%E -3.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:30
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.47%E -2.09%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.09%E -3.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:30
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -3.33%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 18:14
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 18:00
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 18:10
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 20:10
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 20:10
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 20:35
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 19:50
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 19:20
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.63%E -2.82%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.17%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 18:10
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.63%E -2.82%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.00%E -2.20%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 18:10
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.21%E -3.20%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.65%E -0.704%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 18:00
FanDuel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -5.21%E -3.20%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.07%E -0.886%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 17:55
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.21%E -3.20%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 18:15
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.07%E -0.886%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 19:00
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:15
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:15
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:15
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:15
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 18:20
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 20:29
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.42%E -2.40%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 18:20
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.84%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 17:54
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 17:55
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.58%E -2.01%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 17:55
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -7.54%E -4.74%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%EV -7.93%E -3.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 17:55
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.70%E -5.54%K -15.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.02%E -4.66%K -8.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-27 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -9.28%E -5.95%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.02%E -4.66%K -8.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-27 18:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-27 18:00
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-27 19:50
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%3.6%2026-07-27 21:35
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09%10.0%2026-07-27 18:10