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Minnesota Twins v Kansas City Royals

2026-07-29 23:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prediction 60.73%1.65fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.995%
Kelly -2.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.19%60.81%60.76%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.561.6266.67%64.11%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visit)

Prediction 39.27%2.55fair odd
EV +0.129%
Edge +0.051%
Kelly +0.083%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%39.19%39.24%40.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.442.452.5544.44%41.05%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.129%E +0.051%K +0.083%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 22:45
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.129%E +0.051%K +0.083%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 19:35
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -0.264%E -0.104%K -0.171%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 19:34
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -0.657%E -0.259%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 21:39
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.56%EV -1.44%E -0.574%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 19:34
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.83%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 22:34
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -1.61%E -0.995%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -2.62%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 23:49
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.62%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 00:54
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.62%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 00:55
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.62%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 00:55
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.62%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 00:54
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 22:29
Unibet (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 22:24
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 23:44
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:45
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 00:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 00:54
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 00:54
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 00:54
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 00:54
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 00:54
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:24
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 00:54
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 00:55
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 00:55
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:44
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:45
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:45
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.58%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 22:39
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -5.37%E -2.23%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 22:20
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 22:49
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 22:39
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 22:24
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 19:39
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 23:39
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 22:24
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:44
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:23
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:25
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.15%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 23:13
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-29 00:54
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.61%E -0.995%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.72%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.61%E -0.995%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.72%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:39
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -7.68%E -5.06%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-28 23:45
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.65%E -5.18%K -9.32%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-28 22:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-28 19:35
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-28 22:19
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-07-29 01:10
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%4.3%2026-07-29 01:15
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%10.1%2026-07-28 22:24
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 60.11%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%13.9%2026-07-28 23:54