Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Minnesota Twins v Kansas City Royals

2026-07-29 23:41 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prévision 60.65%1.65cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -2.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.19%60.76%60.63%62.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.561.561.6266.67%64.07%64.10%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.35%2.54cote équitable
EV +0.337%
Avantage +0.132%
Kelly +0.217%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.04%39.24%39.37%40.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.432.452.5544.44%41.10%40.82%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.337%E +0.132%K +0.217%G +0.001%5.9%2026-07-28 19:35
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -6.60%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -0.057%E -0.022%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 19:34
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -6.60%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -0.450%E -0.178%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 21:39
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -8.42%E -5.57%K -16.50%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.56%EV -1.24%E -0.493%K -0.819%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 19:34
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.78%E -3.04%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.63%E -0.652%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 22:34
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.63%E -0.652%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 01:24
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -2.42%E -0.975%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 23:49
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.42%E -0.975%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 00:54
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.42%E -0.975%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 00:55
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.42%E -0.975%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 00:55
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.42%E -0.975%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 00:54
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 22:29
Unibet (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.78%E -3.04%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 22:24
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.78%E -3.04%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 23:44
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 01:34
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:45
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 00:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 00:54
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 00:54
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 00:54
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 00:54
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 00:54
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.99%E -3.86%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:24
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.99%E -3.86%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 00:54
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.99%E -3.86%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 00:55
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.99%E -3.86%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 00:55
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:44
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:45
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:45
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.38%E -1.80%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 22:39
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 22:20
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 22:49
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 22:39
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 22:24
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.04%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 23:39
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 22:24
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:44
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.99%E -3.86%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:23
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.99%E -3.86%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:25
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.96%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 23:13
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -8.42%E -5.57%K -16.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-29 00:54
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.75%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 01:34
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.75%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 01:32
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.53%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.53%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:39
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -7.81%E -5.14%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-28 23:45
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-28 22:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-28 19:35
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-28 22:19
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-07-29 01:55
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%2.8%2026-07-29 01:59
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%10.1%2026-07-28 22:24
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 60.11%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%13.9%2026-07-28 23:54