Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Kansas City Royals

Início: 2026-07-29 23:41 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 0–4 Kansas City Royals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 64.19%1.56odd justa
EV -1.79%
Vantagem -1.17%
Kelly -3.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.19%64.19%64.24%65.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.411.491.491.5370.92%67.23%67.11%65.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Previsão 35.81%2.79odd justa
EV +0.273%
Vantagem +0.098%
Kelly +0.152%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.73%35.81%35.76%37.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.672.662.8040.00%37.48%37.66%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Twins (Local): 64.19%; Kansas City Royals (Visitante): 35.81%. Para Kansas City Royals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.79. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.273%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -4.36%E -2.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +0.273%E +0.098%K +0.152%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-29 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -4.36%E -2.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +0.273%E +0.098%K +0.152%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-29 23:40
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.88%EV -3.08%E -2.04%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 35.12%EV -0.085%E -0.030%K -0.047%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-29 23:40
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.52%E -0.552%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-29 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.52%E -0.552%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.52%E -0.552%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 23:40
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.64%E -3.84%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.52%E -0.552%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.64%E -3.84%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.52%E -0.552%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 23:40
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.64%E -3.84%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.52%E -0.552%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 23:40
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.64%E -3.84%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.52%E -0.552%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.64%E -3.84%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.52%E -0.552%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.64%E -3.84%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.52%E -0.552%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -2.43%E -1.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -1.88%E -0.684%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -2.43%E -1.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -1.88%E -0.684%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 23:25
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -1.79%E -1.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -2.23%E -0.818%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-29 20:55
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -2.43%E -1.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -2.23%E -0.818%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-29 23:25
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.64%E -3.84%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -2.95%E -1.09%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 23:39
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -1.79%E -1.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-29 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -1.79%E -1.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-29 20:34
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.08%E -2.04%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-29 20:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-29 23:15
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-29 23:15
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.36%E -2.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 20:40
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.36%E -2.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 13:48
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.29%E -4.31%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 23:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.29%E -4.31%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 23:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.93%E -4.78%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 23:15
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.93%E -4.78%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 23:15
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.35%EV -4.36%E -2.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.65%EV -3.67%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 20:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -4.38%E -1.64%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 23:14
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.38%E -1.64%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 15:40
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.08%E -2.04%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -4.74%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-29 20:35
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.08%E -2.04%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 13:45
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 14:45
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 23:23
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.36%E -2.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 20:35
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 20:49
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:40
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.64%E -3.84%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.64%E -3.84%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.64%E -3.84%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 14:45
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.10%EV -9.49%E -6.73%K -23.16%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -5.81%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-29 23:15
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 23:25
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.57%E -5.26%K -17.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 21:15
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 15:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 23:29
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 14:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 23:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 23:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.64%E -3.84%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 23:15
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.93%E -4.78%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 23:29
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.93%E -4.78%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 23:30
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.08%E -2.04%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.96%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 14:05
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.08%E -2.04%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.96%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 14:05
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.79%E -1.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.68%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.79%E -1.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.68%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 23:25
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.64%E -3.84%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.68%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-29 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -6.29%E -4.31%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.68%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-29 23:10
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.43%E -1.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 14:03
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.54I 64.94%NM 65.16%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.84%-0.3%2026-07-29 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-07-29 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-07-29 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-07-29 23:40
ProphetX◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-07-29 23:40
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-07-29 21:55
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-07-29 13:45
Matchbook◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.2%2026-07-29 23:40
Novig◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-07-29 23:40
Smarkets◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%2.4%2026-07-29 23:40