Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Kansas City Royals

2026-07-29 23:41 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 60.65%1.65odd justa
EV -1.74%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -2.81%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.19%60.76%60.63%62.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.561.561.6266.67%64.07%64.10%61.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Previsão 39.35%2.54odd justa
EV +0.337%
Vantagem +0.132%
Kelly +0.217%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.04%39.24%39.37%40.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.432.452.5544.44%41.10%40.82%39.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.337%E +0.132%K +0.217%G +0.001%5.9%2026-07-28 19:35
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -6.60%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -0.057%E -0.022%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 19:34
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -6.60%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -0.450%E -0.178%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 21:39
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -8.42%E -5.57%K -16.50%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.56%EV -1.24%E -0.493%K -0.819%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 19:34
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.78%E -3.04%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.63%E -0.652%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 22:34
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.63%E -0.652%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 01:24
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -2.42%E -0.975%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 23:49
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.42%E -0.975%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 00:54
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.42%E -0.975%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 00:55
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.42%E -0.975%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 00:55
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.42%E -0.975%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 00:54
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 22:29
Unibet (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.78%E -3.04%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 22:24
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.78%E -3.04%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 23:44
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 01:34
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:45
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 00:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 00:54
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 00:54
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 00:54
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 00:54
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 00:54
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.99%E -3.86%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:24
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.99%E -3.86%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 00:54
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.99%E -3.86%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 00:55
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.99%E -3.86%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 00:55
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:44
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:45
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:45
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.38%E -1.80%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 22:39
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 22:20
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 22:49
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 22:39
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 22:24
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.04%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 23:39
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 22:24
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:44
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.99%E -3.86%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:23
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.99%E -3.86%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:25
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.96%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 23:13
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -8.42%E -5.57%K -16.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-29 00:54
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.75%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 01:34
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.75%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 01:32
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.53%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.53%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:39
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -7.81%E -5.14%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-28 23:45
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-28 22:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-28 19:35
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-28 22:19
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-07-29 01:55
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%2.8%2026-07-29 01:59
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%10.1%2026-07-28 22:24
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 60.11%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%13.9%2026-07-28 23:54