Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Kansas City Royals

2026-07-29 23:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Predicción 60.65%1.65momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -2.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.19%60.76%60.63%62.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.561.561.6266.67%64.07%64.10%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 39.35%2.54momio equitativo
EV +0.337%
Ventaja +0.132%
Kelly +0.217%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.04%39.24%39.37%40.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.432.452.5544.44%41.10%40.82%39.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.337%E +0.132%K +0.217%G +0.001%5.9%2026-07-28 19:35
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -6.60%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -0.057%E -0.022%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 19:34
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -6.60%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -0.450%E -0.178%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 21:39
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -8.42%E -5.57%K -16.50%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.56%EV -1.24%E -0.493%K -0.819%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 19:34
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.78%E -3.04%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.63%E -0.652%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 22:34
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.63%E -0.652%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 01:24
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -2.42%E -0.975%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 23:49
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.42%E -0.975%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 00:54
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.42%E -0.975%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 00:55
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.42%E -0.975%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 00:55
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.42%E -0.975%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 00:54
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 22:29
Unibet (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.78%E -3.04%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 22:24
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.78%E -3.04%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 23:44
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 01:34
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:45
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 00:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 00:54
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 00:54
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 00:54
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 00:54
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 00:54
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.99%E -3.86%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:24
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.99%E -3.86%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 00:54
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.99%E -3.86%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 00:55
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.99%E -3.86%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 00:55
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:44
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:45
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:45
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.38%E -1.80%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 22:39
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 22:20
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 22:49
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 22:39
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 22:24
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.04%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 23:39
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 22:24
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:44
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.99%E -3.86%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:23
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.99%E -3.86%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 22:25
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.96%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 23:13
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -8.42%E -5.57%K -16.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-29 00:54
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.75%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 01:34
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.75%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 01:32
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.53%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.74%E -1.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.53%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:39
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -7.81%E -5.14%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-28 23:45
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-28 22:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-28 19:35
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-28 22:19
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-07-29 01:55
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%2.8%2026-07-29 01:59
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%10.1%2026-07-28 22:24
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 60.11%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%13.9%2026-07-28 23:54