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Minnesota Twins v Kansas City Royals
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Minnesota Twins (Local)
Predicción 64.19%1.56momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -3.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.19%64.19%64.24%65.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.411.491.491.5370.92%67.23%67.11%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Kansas City Royals (Visitante)
Predicción 35.81%2.79momio equitativo
EV +0.273%
Ventaja +0.098%
Kelly +0.152%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.73%35.81%35.76%37.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.672.662.8040.00%37.48%37.66%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Minnesota Twins (Local): 64.19%; Kansas City Royals (Visitante): 35.81%. Para Kansas City Royals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.79. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.273%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -4.36%E -2.93%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +0.273%E +0.098%K +0.152%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -4.36%E -2.93%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +0.273%E +0.098%K +0.152%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.88%EV -3.08%E -2.04%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 35.12%EV -0.085%E -0.030%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.52%E -0.552%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-29 23:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.52%E -0.552%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.52%E -0.552%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.64%E -3.84%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.52%E -0.552%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.64%E -3.84%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.52%E -0.552%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.64%E -3.84%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.52%E -0.552%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.64%E -3.84%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.52%E -0.552%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.64%E -3.84%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.52%E -0.552%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.64%E -3.84%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.52%E -0.552%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -2.43%E -1.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -1.88%E -0.684%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-29 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -2.43%E -1.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -1.88%E -0.684%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-29 23:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -1.79%E -1.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -2.23%E -0.818%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 20:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -2.43%E -1.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -2.23%E -0.818%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-29 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.64%E -3.84%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -2.95%E -1.09%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 23:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -1.79%E -1.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-29 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -1.79%E -1.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-29 20:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.08%E -2.04%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-29 20:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-29 23:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-29 23:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.36%E -2.93%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 20:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.36%E -2.93%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 13:48 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.29%E -4.31%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 23:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.29%E -4.31%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.93%E -4.78%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 23:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.93%E -4.78%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.31%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 23:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.35%EV -4.36%E -2.93%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.65%EV -3.67%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 20:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -4.38%E -1.64%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-29 23:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.38%E -1.64%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.08%E -2.04%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -4.74%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-29 20:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.08%E -2.04%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 13:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 23:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.36%E -2.93%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 20:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 20:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.64%E -3.84%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.64%E -3.84%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.64%E -3.84%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 14:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.10%EV -9.49%E -6.73%K -23.16%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -5.81%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-29 23:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 23:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.57%E -5.26%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.17%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-29 21:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 15:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 23:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 14:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 23:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 23:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.64%E -3.84%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.93%E -4.78%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 23:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.93%E -4.78%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 23:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.08%E -2.04%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.96%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.08%E -2.04%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.96%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 14:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.79%E -1.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.68%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.79%E -1.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.68%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.64%E -3.84%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.68%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -6.29%E -4.31%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.68%E -3.40%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.43%E -1.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -10.47%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 14:03 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 65.16% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.84% | -0.3% | 2026-07-29 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 13:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55% | 1.2% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50% | 1.3% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88% | 2.4% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |