Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Twins v Kansas City Royals

2026-07-30 17:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prediction 55.92%1.79fair odd
EV -0.471%
Edge -0.265%
Kelly -0.604%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.94%55.88%56.06%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.711.711.7860.98%58.60%58.48%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visit)

Prediction 44.08%2.27fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.758%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.12%43.94%45.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.152.2348.78%46.48%46.51%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -0.471%E -0.265%K -0.604%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -4.34%E -2.00%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 22:49
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.71%E -1.56%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.78%E -2.21%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-29 18:45
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.71%E -1.56%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 18:50
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.71%E -1.56%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 21:10
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.71%E -1.56%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 22:50
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 56.31%EV -3.27%E -1.89%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.69%EV -1.69%E -0.758%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-29 21:25
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.27%E -1.89%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.78%E -2.21%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 00:15
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.27%E -1.89%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.78%E -2.21%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 00:15
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.27%E -1.89%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.78%E -2.21%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 00:15
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.27%E -1.89%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.78%E -2.21%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 00:15
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.27%E -1.89%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.98%E -3.31%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 22:45
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:15
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:15
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:15
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:20
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:20
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:20
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.54%E -3.08%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 18:55
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.54%E -3.08%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 18:55
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.54%E -3.08%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 19:00
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.42%E -3.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 18:50
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.39%E -2.56%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.01%E -1.37%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 21:45
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.39%E -2.56%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.45%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 21:44
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.39%E -2.56%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.89%E -1.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 22:25
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.39%E -2.56%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 21:45
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.39%E -2.56%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 21:45
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.39%E -2.56%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 21:45
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.39%E -2.56%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.66%E -2.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 00:15
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.39%E -2.56%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.66%E -2.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 00:20
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.39%E -2.56%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.66%E -2.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 00:20
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.45%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 21:45
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.89%E -1.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 21:45
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.89%E -1.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 21:50
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.89%E -1.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 02:05
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.34%E -2.00%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 21:50
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 21:45
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.50%E -3.26%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-30 00:55
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.50%E -3.26%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 21:45
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 21:45
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 21:45
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.62%E -3.97%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.01%E -1.37%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 21:50
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.62%E -3.97%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 18:45
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.62%E -3.97%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 21:45
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.62%E -3.97%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 21:48
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.62%E -3.97%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 23:40
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.18%E -4.33%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.42%E -3.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-29 23:40
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -7.18%E -4.33%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.50%EV -8.74%E -4.22%K -8.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-30 00:20
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.74%E -4.69%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.01%E -1.37%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 21:30
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.30%E -5.06%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -9.63%E -4.70%K -9.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-29 21:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-07-30 01:25
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-29 22:45
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-29 19:05
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-30 02:10
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-30 02:10
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%3.9%2026-07-29 23:45
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%7.3%2026-07-30 02:10