Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Kansas City Royals

2026-07-30 17:41 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 55.86%1.79odd justa
EV -0.564%
Vantagem -0.317%
Kelly -0.722%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.45%55.82%55.96%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.641.721.711.7860.98%58.31%58.31%56.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Previsão 44.14%2.27odd justa
EV -1.57%
Vantagem -0.706%
Kelly -1.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%44.18%44.04%45.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.022.142.152.2349.50%46.76%46.51%44.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -0.564%E -0.317%K -0.722%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -4.22%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 22:49
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.68%E -0.955%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 02:49
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.68%E -0.955%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 02:49
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.68%E -0.955%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 02:50
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.68%E -0.955%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 02:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.24%E -1.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 02:50
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.24%E -1.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 02:49
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.24%E -1.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 02:50
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.24%E -1.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 02:49
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.24%E -1.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 02:50
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.24%E -1.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 02:50
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.80%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.66%E -2.16%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-29 18:45
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.80%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 18:50
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.80%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 21:10
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.80%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 22:50
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.80%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 02:50
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.80%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 02:50
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.80%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 02:50
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 56.31%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.69%EV -1.57%E -0.706%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-29 21:25
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.87%E -3.26%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 22:45
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 18:54
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 18:55
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 18:55
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 19:00
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 18:50
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.47%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 21:45
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.47%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.34%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 21:44
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.47%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.78%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 22:25
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.47%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 21:45
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.47%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 21:45
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.47%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 21:45
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.34%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 21:45
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.78%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 21:45
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.78%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 21:50
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.78%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 02:05
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.22%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 21:50
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 21:45
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.59%E -3.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 02:15
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.59%E -3.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 21:45
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.59%E -3.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -5.55%E -2.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 02:34
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 21:45
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -10.84%E -5.37%K -10.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-30 02:50
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 21:50
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 18:45
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 21:45
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 21:48
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 23:40
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.27%E -4.38%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-29 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.83%E -4.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 21:30
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.38%E -5.11%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-29 21:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.76%2.31I 43.29%NM 43.24%0.1%2026-07-30 02:40
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-07-30 02:50
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-29 22:45
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-29 19:05
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-30 02:50
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%3.9%2026-07-29 23:45
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%8.6%2026-07-30 02:50