Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Minnesota Twins v Kansas City Royals

2026-07-30 17:41 UTC — MLB

Testa a testa

50 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

56%

44%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Minnesota Twins (Casa)

Previsione 55.88%1.79quota equa

EV -0.538%

Vantaggio -0.302%

Kelly -0.690%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

54.94%55.86%55.96%57.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

1.641.711.711.7860.98%58.53%58.31%56.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.12%2.27quota equa

EV -1.61%

Vantaggio -0.720%

Kelly -1.31%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

42.86%44.14%44.04%45.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

2.052.152.152.2348.78%46.53%46.51%44.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa ▼	Trasferta	Margine	Aggiornamento
1xBet	1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -0.538%E -0.302%K -0.690%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -4.25%E -1.96%K -3.64%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-07-29 22:49
FanDuel	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.70%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-29 18:45
PointsBet (AU)	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-29 18:50
theScore Bet	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-29 21:10
Hard Rock Bet	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-29 22:50
Pinnacle	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.31%EV -3.33%E -1.93%K -4.56%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.69%EV -1.61%E -0.720%K -1.31%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-07-29 21:25
BetRivers	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.33%E -1.93%K -4.56%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-30 02:45
Unibet (SE)	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.33%E -1.93%K -4.56%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-30 02:45
Unibet (NL)	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.33%E -1.93%K -4.56%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-30 02:44
Svenska Spel	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.33%E -1.93%K -4.56%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-30 02:45
LeoVegas (SE)	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.33%E -1.93%K -4.56%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.58%E -2.61%K -4.89%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-30 02:45
ATG (SE)	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.33%E -1.93%K -4.56%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.58%E -2.61%K -4.89%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-30 02:44
Bally Bet	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.33%E -1.93%K -4.56%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.58%E -2.61%K -4.89%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-30 02:44
Casumo	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.33%E -1.93%K -4.56%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.58%E -2.61%K -4.89%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-30 02:44
Unibet	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.33%E -1.93%K -4.56%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.58%E -2.61%K -4.89%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-30 02:44
betPARX	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.33%E -1.93%K -4.56%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.58%E -2.61%K -4.89%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-30 02:44
Marathon Bet	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.33%E -1.93%K -4.56%G +0.000%	2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.90%E -3.27%K -6.22%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-29 22:45
Bovada	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.89%E -2.26%K -5.40%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-29 18:54
NordicBet	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.89%E -2.26%K -5.40%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.46%E -3.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-29 18:55
Betsson	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.89%E -2.26%K -5.40%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.46%E -3.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-29 18:55
PlayUp	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.89%E -2.26%K -5.40%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.46%E -3.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-29 19:00
Virgin Bet	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.89%E -2.26%K -5.40%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.46%E -3.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-30 02:45
LiveScore Bet	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.89%E -2.26%K -5.40%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.46%E -3.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-30 02:44
TABtouch	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.89%E -2.26%K -5.40%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.46%E -3.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-30 02:44
SportsBet	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.89%E -2.26%K -5.40%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.34%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-29 18:50
Betway	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.45%E -2.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.93%E -1.33%K -2.44%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-29 21:45
MyBookie.ag	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.45%E -2.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.37%E -1.54%K -2.83%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-29 21:44
Caesars	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.45%E -2.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.81%E -1.75%K -3.23%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-29 22:25
888sport	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.45%E -2.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-29 21:45
888sport (SE)	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.45%E -2.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-29 21:45
Mr Green (SE)	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.45%E -2.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-29 21:45
DraftKings	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.01%E -2.95%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.37%E -1.54%K -2.83%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-29 21:45
Unibet (UK)	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.01%E -2.95%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.81%E -1.75%K -3.23%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-29 21:45
Bet Right	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.01%E -2.95%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.81%E -1.75%K -3.23%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-29 21:50
LeoVegas	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.01%E -2.95%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.81%E -1.75%K -3.23%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-30 02:05
Coolbet	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.01%E -2.95%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.25%E -1.96%K -3.64%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-29 21:50
Betr (AU)	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.01%E -2.95%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-29 21:45
Fliff	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.57%E -3.29%K -8.07%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.93%E -1.33%K -2.44%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-30 02:15
ReBet	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.57%E -3.29%K -8.07%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-29 21:45
Betclic (FR)	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.57%E -3.29%K -8.07%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -5.58%E -2.61%K -4.89%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-30 02:34
Winamax (DE)	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.13%E -3.65%K -9.01%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-29 21:45
William Hill	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.98%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.93%E -1.33%K -2.44%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-29 21:50
Paddy Power	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.98%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-29 18:45
Bet Victor	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.98%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-29 21:45
betano_uk	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.98%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-29 21:48
BoyleSports	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.98%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.14%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-29 23:40
Unibet (FR)	1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.24%E -4.36%K -10.97%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.34%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-29 23:40
Grosvenor	1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -7.24%E -4.36%K -10.97%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -9.11%E -4.42%K -8.59%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-07-30 02:44
Tipico (DE)	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.80%E -4.73%K -12.00%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.93%E -1.33%K -2.44%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-29 21:30
Winamax (FR)	1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.36%E -5.10%K -13.06%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -9.55%E -4.66%K -9.09%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-07-29 21:45

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
BetOpenly	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.76%	2.31I 43.29%NM 43.24%	0.1%	2026-07-30 02:40
ProphetX	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%	0.9%	2026-07-30 02:40
Kalshi	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.2%	2026-07-29 22:45
Polymarket	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.2%	2026-07-29 19:05
Novig	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.2%	2026-07-30 02:10
Matchbook	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%	3.9%	2026-07-29 23:45
Smarkets	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%	7.0%	2026-07-30 02:45