Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Kansas City Royals

2026-07-30 17:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (18 en el análisis )

56%

44%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Predicción 55.86%1.79momio equitativo

EV -0.564%

Ventaja -0.317%

Kelly -0.722%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

54.45%55.82%55.96%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.641.721.711.7860.98%58.31%58.31%56.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 44.14%2.27momio equitativo

EV -1.57%

Ventaja -0.706%

Kelly -1.28%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

42.86%44.18%44.04%45.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.022.142.152.2349.50%46.76%46.51%44.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
1xBet	1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -0.564%E -0.317%K -0.722%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -4.22%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-07-29 22:49
BetRivers	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.68%E -0.955%K -2.21%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-30 02:49
Unibet (SE)	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.68%E -0.955%K -2.21%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-30 02:49
Unibet (NL)	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.68%E -0.955%K -2.21%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-30 02:50
Svenska Spel	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.68%E -0.955%K -2.21%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-30 02:49
LeoVegas (SE)	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.24%E -1.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-30 02:50
ATG (SE)	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.24%E -1.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-30 02:49
Bally Bet	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.24%E -1.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-30 02:50
Casumo	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.24%E -1.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-30 02:49
Unibet	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.24%E -1.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-30 02:50
betPARX	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.24%E -1.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-30 02:50
FanDuel	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.80%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.66%E -2.16%K -4.02%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-29 18:45
PointsBet (AU)	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.80%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-29 18:50
theScore Bet	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.80%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-29 21:10
Hard Rock Bet	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.80%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-29 22:50
Virgin Bet	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.80%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.59%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-30 02:50
LiveScore Bet	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.80%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.59%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-30 02:50
TABtouch	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.80%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.59%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-30 02:50
Pinnacle	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.31%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.60%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.69%EV -1.57%E -0.706%K -1.28%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-07-29 21:25
Marathon Bet	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.60%G +0.000%	2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.87%E -3.26%K -6.19%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-29 22:45
Bovada	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.44%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-29 18:54
NordicBet	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.44%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-29 18:55
Betsson	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.44%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-29 18:55
PlayUp	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.44%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-29 19:00
SportsBet	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.44%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-29 18:50
Betway	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.47%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-29 21:45
MyBookie.ag	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.47%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.34%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-29 21:44
Caesars	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.47%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.78%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-29 22:25
888sport	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.47%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-29 21:45
888sport (SE)	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.47%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-29 21:45
Mr Green (SE)	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.47%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-29 21:45
DraftKings	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.34%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-29 21:45
Unibet (UK)	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.78%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-29 21:45
Bet Right	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.78%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-29 21:50
LeoVegas	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.78%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-30 02:05
Coolbet	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.22%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-29 21:50
Betr (AU)	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-29 21:45
Fliff	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.59%E -3.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-30 02:15
ReBet	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.59%E -3.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-29 21:45
Betclic (FR)	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.59%E -3.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -5.55%E -2.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-30 02:34
Winamax (DE)	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-29 21:45
Grosvenor	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -10.84%E -5.37%K -10.63%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-30 02:50
William Hill	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-29 21:50
Paddy Power	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-29 18:45
Bet Victor	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-29 21:45
betano_uk	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-29 21:48
BoyleSports	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-29 23:40
Unibet (FR)	1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.27%E -4.38%K -11.01%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-29 23:40
Tipico (DE)	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.83%E -4.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-29 21:30
Winamax (FR)	1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.38%E -5.11%K -13.10%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-07-29 21:45

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
BetOpenly	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.76%	2.31I 43.29%NM 43.24%	0.1%	2026-07-30 02:40
Novig	1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%	2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%	0.4%	2026-07-30 02:50
Kalshi	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.2%	2026-07-29 22:45
Polymarket	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.2%	2026-07-29 19:05
ProphetX	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.2%	2026-07-30 02:50
Matchbook	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%	3.9%	2026-07-29 23:45
Smarkets	1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%	8.6%	2026-07-30 02:50