Language:English
Minnesota Twins v Cleveland Guardians
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Twins (Local)
Prediction 47.70%2.10fair odd
EV +0.164%
Edge +0.078%
Kelly +0.149%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.80%47.78%49.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.022.022.1052.63%49.57%49.50%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cleveland Guardians (Visit)
Prediction 52.30%1.91fair odd
EV -0.625%
Edge -0.329%
Kelly -0.694%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%52.20%52.22%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.811.811.9057.47%55.15%55.40%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 47.70%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 52.30%. For Minnesota Twins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.097. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.100, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.164%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +0.164%E +0.078%K +0.149%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-09 16:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.790%E -0.380%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 16:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.790%E -0.380%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-09 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 16:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 16:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 16:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 16:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 16:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 16:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-09 17:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-09 17:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-09 17:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -5.33%E -2.95%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-09 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 16:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 16:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 16:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 16:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.67%E -0.889%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-09 17:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-09 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-09 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 16:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 16:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 17:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-09 17:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.17%E -1.56%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.33%E -2.95%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 17:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 16:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 17:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 17:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 17:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 17:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-09 16:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-09 16:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 17:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-09 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-09 16:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-09 16:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.33%E -2.95%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 17:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 16:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 16:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 16:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 16:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-09 16:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.51%E -3.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-09 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.51%E -3.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-09 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -0.625%E -0.329%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-09 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 16:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 16:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-09 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.47%E -3.85%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-09 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -8.42%E -4.39%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-09 17:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.90%E -4.66%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-09 17:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.38%E -4.93%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-09 17:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.26% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.74% | -0.2% | 2026-07-09 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-07-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-07-09 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-07-09 16:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-07-09 17:08 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-07-09 16:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54% | 1.5% | 2026-07-09 17:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54% | 1.5% | 2026-07-09 17:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79% | 1.6% | 2026-07-09 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 1.8% | 2026-07-09 17:30 |
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