مدرسة الاحتمالات

Minnesota Twins v Cleveland Guardians

البداية: 2026-07-09 17:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Minnesota Twins 2–5 Cleveland Guardians

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Minnesota Twins (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.70%2.10السعر العادل
EV +0.164%
الأفضلية +0.078%
Kelly +0.149%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.91%47.80%47.78%49.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.902.022.022.1052.63%49.57%49.50%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cleveland Guardians (الضيف)

التنبؤ 52.30%1.91السعر العادل
EV -0.625%
الأفضلية -0.329%
Kelly -0.694%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.53%52.20%52.22%54.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.741.811.811.9057.47%55.15%55.40%52.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +0.164%E +0.078%K +0.149%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-09 16:24
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.790%E -0.380%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 16:24
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.790%E -0.380%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 16:25
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-09 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 16:24
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 16:25
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 16:25
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 16:25
Bally Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 16:25
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 16:29
BetUS2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 17:35
BetAnything2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 17:24
Everygame2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 17:24
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -5.33%E -2.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 16:05
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 16:24
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 16:24
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 16:25
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 16:25
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.67%E -0.889%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-09 17:24
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-09 17:39
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-09 17:40
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 16:05
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 16:09
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 17:14
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 17:30
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 16:05
Bovada2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.17%E -1.56%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.33%E -2.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 17:39
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 16:34
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 17:30
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 17:29
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:50
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 17:14
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 17:15
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 16:25
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-09 16:30
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 17:34
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 17:40
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 16:05
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 16:15
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 16:15
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 16:05
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.33%E -2.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 17:29
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 16:34
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 16:19
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 16:34
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 16:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 17:05
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 16:10
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:15
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:15
LeoVegas1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:35
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.51%E -3.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 17:30
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.51%E -3.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 16:29
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -0.625%E -0.329%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 17:40
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:29
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 16:30
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 16:05
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.47%E -3.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 16:29
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -8.42%E -4.39%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 17:14
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.90%E -4.66%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 17:39
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.38%E -4.93%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 17:38
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly2.12I 47.17%NM 47.26%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.74%-0.2%2026-07-09 17:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-07-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-07-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-07-09 16:50
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-09 17:08
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-09 16:00
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-07-09 17:40
ProphetX2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-07-09 17:40
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%1.6%2026-07-09 17:40
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-07-09 17:30