La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Minnesota Twins v Cleveland Guardians
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Minnesota Twins (Local)
Predicción 47.70%2.10momio equitativo
EV +0.164%
Ventaja +0.078%
Kelly +0.149%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.91%47.80%47.78%49.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.022.022.1052.63%49.57%49.50%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)
Predicción 52.30%1.91momio equitativo
EV -0.625%
Ventaja -0.329%
Kelly -0.694%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.53%52.20%52.22%54.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.741.811.811.9057.47%55.15%55.40%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +0.164%E +0.078%K +0.149%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-09 16:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.790%E -0.380%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 16:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.790%E -0.380%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 16:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-09 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 16:24 |
| Unibet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 16:25 |
| Casumo | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 16:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 16:25 |
| Bally Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 16:25 |
| betPARX | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 16:29 |
| BetUS | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-09 17:35 |
| BetAnything | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-09 17:24 |
| Everygame | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-09 17:24 |
| FanDuel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -5.33%E -2.95%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-09 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 16:24 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 16:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 16:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 16:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.67%E -0.889%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-09 17:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-09 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-09 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 16:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 16:09 |
| TAB | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 17:14 |
| Fliff | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-09 17:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 16:05 |
| Bovada | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.17%E -1.56%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.33%E -2.95%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 17:39 |
| Bet Right | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 16:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 17:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 17:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 16:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 17:14 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 17:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-09 16:25 |
| ReBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-09 16:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 17:34 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-09 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-09 16:05 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-09 16:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.33%E -2.95%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 17:29 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 16:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 16:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 16:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 16:35 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-09 16:10 |
| GTbets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| Neds | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 16:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.51%E -3.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-09 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.51%E -3.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-09 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -0.625%E -0.329%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-09 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 16:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 16:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-09 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.47%E -3.85%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-09 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -8.42%E -4.39%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-09 17:14 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.90%E -4.66%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-09 17:39 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.38%E -4.93%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-09 17:38 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.26% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.74% | -0.2% | 2026-07-09 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-07-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-07-09 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-07-09 16:50 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-07-09 17:08 |
| Polymarket | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-07-09 16:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54% | 1.5% | 2026-07-09 17:40 |
| ProphetX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54% | 1.5% | 2026-07-09 17:40 |
| Novig | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79% | 1.6% | 2026-07-09 17:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 1.8% | 2026-07-09 17:30 |