La scuola delle quote

Minnesota Twins v Cleveland Guardians

Inizio: 2026-07-09 17:41 UTC

Finale: Minnesota Twins 2–5 Cleveland Guardians

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Minnesota Twins (Casa)

Previsione 47.70%2.10quota equa
EV +0.164%
Vantaggio +0.078%
Kelly +0.149%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.91%47.80%47.78%49.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.022.022.1052.63%49.57%49.50%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cleveland Guardians (Trasferta)

Previsione 52.30%1.91quota equa
EV -0.625%
Vantaggio -0.329%
Kelly -0.694%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.53%52.20%52.22%54.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.741.811.811.9057.47%55.15%55.40%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +0.164%E +0.078%K +0.149%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-09 16:24
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.790%E -0.380%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 16:24
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.790%E -0.380%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 16:25
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-09 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 16:24
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 16:25
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 16:25
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 16:25
Bally Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 16:25
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 16:29
BetUS2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 17:35
BetAnything2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 17:24
Everygame2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 17:24
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -5.33%E -2.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 16:05
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 16:24
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 16:24
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 16:25
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 16:25
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.67%E -0.889%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-09 17:24
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-09 17:39
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-09 17:40
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 16:05
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 16:09
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 17:14
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 17:30
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 16:05
Bovada2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.17%E -1.56%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.33%E -2.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 17:39
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 16:34
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 17:30
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 17:29
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:50
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 17:14
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 17:15
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 16:25
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-09 16:30
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 17:34
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 17:40
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 16:05
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 16:15
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 16:15
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 16:05
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.33%E -2.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 17:29
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 16:34
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 16:19
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 16:34
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 16:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 17:05
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 16:10
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:15
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:15
LeoVegas1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 16:35
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.51%E -3.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 17:30
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.51%E -3.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 16:29
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -0.625%E -0.329%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 17:40
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:29
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 16:30
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 16:05
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.47%E -3.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 16:29
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -8.42%E -4.39%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 17:14
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.90%E -4.66%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 17:39
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.38%E -4.93%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 17:38
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly2.12I 47.17%NM 47.26%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.74%-0.2%2026-07-09 17:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-07-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-07-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-07-09 16:50
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-09 17:08
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-09 16:00
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-07-09 17:40
ProphetX2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-07-09 17:40
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%1.6%2026-07-09 17:40
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-07-09 17:30