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Milwaukee Brewers v San Diego Padres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Milwaukee Brewers (Local)
Prediction 56.15%1.78fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.669%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.05%56.10%56.23%57.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.691.701.7662.11%59.01%58.82%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego Padres (Visit)
Prediction 43.85%2.28fair odd
EV +1.30%
Edge +0.561%
Kelly +0.989%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 2.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.39%43.90%43.77%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.182.3150.00%46.08%45.87%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 56.15%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 43.85%. For San Diego Padres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV +1.30%E +0.561%K +0.989%G +0.013% | 2.1% | 2026-05-14 15:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.019%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.019%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-14 17:38 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -0.896%E -0.397%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.33%E -0.593%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.33%E -0.593%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.33%E -0.593%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -7.35%E -4.46%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -1.77%E -0.792%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 15:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.18%E -0.669%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.65%E -1.19%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-14 17:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.65%E -1.19%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-14 17:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.65%E -1.19%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-14 17:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.86%E -1.65%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-14 15:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-14 15:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-14 17:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.67%E -3.37%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.35%E -4.46%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-14 15:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.35%E -4.46%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.35%E -4.46%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-14 16:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 15:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 16:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.28%E -2.45%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-14 17:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -5.28%E -2.45%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.28%E -2.45%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-14 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.28%E -2.45%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-14 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.67%E -3.37%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.67%E -3.37%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-14 17:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-14 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.04%E -5.58%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.60%E -5.96%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.16%E -2.88%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 17:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.74%E -0.994%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.74%E -0.994%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.74%E -0.994%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.74%E -0.994%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 15:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.86%E -1.65%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-14 17:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.67%E -3.37%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-14 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.30%E -6.15%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.30%E -6.15%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -7.92%E -4.83%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -12.30%E -6.15%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 0.0% | 2026-05-14 17:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-05-14 17:31 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-05-14 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |