A Escola das Odds

Milwaukee Brewers v San Diego Padres

Início: 2026-05-14 17:41 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 7–1 San Diego Padres

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Previsão 56.15%1.78odd justa
EV -1.18%
Vantagem -0.669%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.05%56.10%56.23%57.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.611.691.701.7662.11%59.01%58.82%56.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Previsão 43.85%2.28odd justa
EV +1.30%
Vantagem +0.561%
Kelly +0.989%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.39%43.90%43.77%45.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.172.182.3150.00%46.08%45.87%43.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV +1.30%E +0.561%K +0.989%G +0.013%2.1%2026-05-14 15:10
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.019%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-14 17:35
Everygame1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.019%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-14 17:38
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -0.896%E -0.397%K -0.711%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 17:40
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.33%E -0.593%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 17:40
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.33%E -0.593%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 17:35
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.33%E -0.593%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-14 17:35
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -7.35%E -4.46%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -1.77%E -0.792%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 15:05
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.18%E -0.669%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.65%E -1.19%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-14 17:15
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.65%E -1.19%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-14 17:25
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.65%E -1.19%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-14 17:39
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.86%E -1.65%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-14 17:40
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 15:24
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 15:10
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 17:25
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 17:35
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.67%E -3.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 17:30
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:40
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:40
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:40
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:40
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:40
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:40
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:40
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.35%E -4.46%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 15:30
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.35%E -4.46%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:40
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.35%E -4.46%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:40
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-14 16:10
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 15:30
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 16:05
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.28%E -2.45%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-14 17:25
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -5.28%E -2.45%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 17:40
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.28%E -2.45%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 17:25
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.28%E -2.45%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:40
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 15:10
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:25
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:35
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:40
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.67%E -3.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:40
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.67%E -3.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:40
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:25
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 15:25
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.04%E -5.58%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 17:40
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.60%E -5.96%K -15.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 17:40
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.16%E -2.88%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 17:25
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.74%E -0.994%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.74%E -0.994%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 15:10
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.74%E -0.994%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.74%E -0.994%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 15:10
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 15:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.86%E -1.65%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 16:00
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:40
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:40
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:38
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.67%E -3.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 17:25
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.30%E -6.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 17:40
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.30%E -6.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -7.92%E -4.83%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -12.30%E -6.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-14 17:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-05-14 17:39
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-14 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-05-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-05-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-05-14 17:31
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-14 17:35
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-05-14 17:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-05-14 17:30
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-05-14 17:35
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-05-14 17:40