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Milwaukee Brewers v San Diego Padres
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Milwaukee Brewers (Local)
Predicción 56.15%1.78momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.669%
Kelly -1.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.05%56.10%56.23%57.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.611.691.701.7662.11%59.01%58.82%56.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
San Diego Padres (Visitante)
Predicción 43.85%2.28momio equitativo
EV +1.30%
Ventaja +0.561%
Kelly +0.989%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.39%43.90%43.77%45.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.182.3150.00%46.08%45.87%43.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 56.15%; San Diego Padres (Visitante): 43.85%. Para San Diego Padres (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.28. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.31, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.30%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV +1.30%E +0.561%K +0.989%G +0.013% | 2.1% | 2026-05-14 15:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.019%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.019%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-14 17:38 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -0.896%E -0.397%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.33%E -0.593%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.33%E -0.593%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.33%E -0.593%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -7.35%E -4.46%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -1.77%E -0.792%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 15:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.18%E -0.669%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.65%E -1.19%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-14 17:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.65%E -1.19%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-14 17:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.65%E -1.19%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-14 17:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.86%E -1.65%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-14 15:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-14 15:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-14 17:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.67%E -3.37%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.35%E -4.46%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-14 15:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.35%E -4.46%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.35%E -4.46%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-14 16:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 15:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 16:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.28%E -2.45%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-14 17:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -5.28%E -2.45%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.28%E -2.45%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-14 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.28%E -2.45%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-14 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.67%E -3.37%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.67%E -3.37%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-14 17:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-14 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.04%E -5.58%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.60%E -5.96%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.16%E -2.88%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 17:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.74%E -0.994%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.74%E -0.994%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.74%E -0.994%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.74%E -0.994%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 15:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.86%E -1.65%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-14 17:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.67%E -3.37%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-14 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.30%E -6.15%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.30%E -6.15%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -7.92%E -4.83%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -12.30%E -6.15%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 0.0% | 2026-05-14 17:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-05-14 17:31 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-05-14 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |