L’École des cotes

Milwaukee Brewers v San Diego Padres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-14 17:41 UTC

Score final : Milwaukee Brewers 7–1 San Diego Padres

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prévision 56.15%1.78cote équitable
EV -1.18%
Avantage -0.669%
Kelly -1.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.05%56.10%56.23%57.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.691.701.7662.11%59.01%58.82%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Diego Padres (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.85%2.28cote équitable
EV +1.30%
Avantage +0.561%
Kelly +0.989%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.39%43.90%43.77%45.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.172.182.3150.00%46.08%45.87%43.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV +1.30%E +0.561%K +0.989%G +0.013%2.1%2026-05-14 15:10
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.019%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-14 17:35
Everygame1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.019%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-14 17:38
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -0.896%E -0.397%K -0.711%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 17:40
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.33%E -0.593%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 17:40
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.33%E -0.593%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 17:35
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.33%E -0.593%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-14 17:35
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -7.35%E -4.46%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -1.77%E -0.792%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 15:05
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.18%E -0.669%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.65%E -1.19%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-14 17:15
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.65%E -1.19%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-14 17:25
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.65%E -1.19%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-14 17:39
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.86%E -1.65%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-14 17:40
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 15:24
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 15:10
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 17:25
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 17:35
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.67%E -3.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 17:30
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:40
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:40
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:40
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:40
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:40
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:40
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:40
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.35%E -4.46%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 15:30
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.35%E -4.46%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:40
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.35%E -4.46%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:40
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-14 16:10
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 15:30
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 16:05
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.28%E -2.45%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-14 17:25
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -5.28%E -2.45%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 17:40
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.28%E -2.45%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 17:25
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.28%E -2.45%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:40
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 15:10
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:25
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:35
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:40
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.67%E -3.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:40
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.67%E -3.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:40
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:25
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 15:25
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.04%E -5.58%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 17:40
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.60%E -5.96%K -15.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 17:40
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.16%E -2.88%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 17:25
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.74%E -0.994%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.74%E -0.994%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 15:10
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.74%E -0.994%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.74%E -0.994%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 15:10
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 15:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.86%E -1.65%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 16:00
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:40
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:40
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:38
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.67%E -3.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 17:25
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.30%E -6.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 17:40
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.55%E -2.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.30%E -6.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -7.92%E -4.83%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -12.30%E -6.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-14 17:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-05-14 17:39
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-14 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-05-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-05-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-05-14 17:31
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-14 17:35
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-05-14 17:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-05-14 17:30
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-05-14 17:35
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-05-14 17:40