Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-08-04 23:40 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prediction 57.34%1.74fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.04%57.31%57.36%58.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.681.671.7162.50%59.63%59.70%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 42.66%2.34fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.441%
Kelly -0.775%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.03%42.69%42.64%43.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.252.3247.62%44.79%44.44%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 57.34%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 42.66%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.32, with an expected value of -1.02%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%EV -1.02%E -0.441%K -0.775%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-04 22:49
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.88%E -0.816%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 14:43
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.88%E -0.816%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 22:00
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.88%E -0.816%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 22:40
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.30%E -1.01%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 22:25
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.00%E -3.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 22:55
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.00%E -3.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 22:54
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.00%E -3.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 22:55
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.00%E -3.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 22:55
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.53%E -1.49%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.02%E -0.441%K -0.775%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 19:25
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.53%E -1.49%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.45%E -0.627%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 18:35
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.53%E -1.49%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.88%E -0.816%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 18:34
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.53%E -1.49%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.88%E -0.816%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 18:34
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.53%E -1.49%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.30%E -1.01%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 17:59
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.53%E -1.49%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.00%E -3.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.53%E -1.49%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.00%E -3.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:55
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.53%E -1.49%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.00%E -3.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:54
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.53%E -1.49%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.00%E -3.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:54
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.53%E -1.49%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.00%E -3.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:55
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.53%E -1.49%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.00%E -3.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:54
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.53%E -1.49%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.42%E -3.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 22:54
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.10%E -1.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.73%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 22:05
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.10%E -1.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 14:44
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 22:45
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 22:54
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 22:49
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.44%E -1.98%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 21:59
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 14:54
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 17:55
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:09
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.25%E -2.54%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.88%E -0.816%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 22:50
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.25%E -2.54%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.88%E -0.816%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 22:48
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.25%E -2.54%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 18:15
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.25%E -2.54%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:50
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.25%E -2.54%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 17:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.25%E -2.54%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 17:54
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.25%E -2.54%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:30
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.25%E -2.54%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:49
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.25%E -2.54%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.25%E -2.54%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 19:24
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.25%E -2.54%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 15:20
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.25%E -2.54%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 22:24
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -4.25%E -2.54%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -8.70%E -4.07%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 22:54
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -4.25%E -2.54%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -8.70%E -4.07%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 22:54
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.82%E -2.90%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:44
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.82%E -2.90%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.44%E -1.98%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 22:50
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.82%E -2.90%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.86%E -2.18%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:49
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.82%E -2.90%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.29%E -2.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:49
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.82%E -2.90%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.29%E -2.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:50
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.82%E -2.90%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.29%E -2.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:05
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.82%E -2.90%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 22:49
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:50
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:49
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:49
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:19
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 19:29
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:46
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.97%E -3.64%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:49
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.97%E -3.64%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 22:50
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -5.97%E -3.64%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 22:55
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.26%E -5.16%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.88%E -0.816%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:44
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.26%E -5.16%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 21:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-04 22:45
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%0.7%2026-08-04 23:05
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-04 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-04 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-04 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-04 22:30
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 19:00
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-04 22:00
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-08-04 22:55
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-08-04 22:40