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Milwaukee Brewers v Pittsburgh Pirates
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Milwaukee Brewers (Local)
Predicción 57.32%1.74momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.819%
Kelly -1.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.26%57.21%57.34%58.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.681.681.7262.50%59.54%59.52%58.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)
Predicción 42.68%2.34momio equitativo
EV -0.985%
Ventaja -0.424%
Kelly -0.746%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.03%42.79%42.66%44.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.082.222.252.3248.08%45.01%44.44%43.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 57.32%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 42.68%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.34. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.32, con un valor esperado de -0.985%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -1.41%E -0.819%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -1.41%E -0.819%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 23:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -1.41%E -0.819%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 23:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -1.41%E -0.819%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%EV -0.985%E -0.424%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 14:43 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.27%E -0.989%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Casumo | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 23:29 |
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 23:29 |
| betPARX | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 23:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -0.985%E -0.424%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 19:25 |
| GTbets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.41%E -0.611%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| BetUS | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.27%E -0.989%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 17:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:29 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 23:28 |
| betano_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-04 14:44 |
| BetAnything | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 22:45 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 22:54 |
| TAB | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| Neds | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -9.52%E -4.49%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 23:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -9.52%E -4.49%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Bovada | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.55%E -1.57%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 23:28 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| ReBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:30 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 19:24 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 15:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.83%E -2.16%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| Betsson | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.25%E -2.37%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.25%E -2.37%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.25%E -2.37%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| 888sport | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 19:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -11.23%E -5.40%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.99%E -3.65%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.99%E -3.65%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 23:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 22:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 21:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 23:15 |
| ProphetX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| BetOpenly | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 19:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |