Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Milwaukee Brewers v Pittsburgh Pirates

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-04 23:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prévision 57.32%1.74cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.819%
Kelly -1.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.26%57.21%57.34%58.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.681.681.7262.50%59.54%59.52%58.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.68%2.34cote équitable
EV -0.985%
Avantage -0.424%
Kelly -0.746%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.03%42.79%42.66%44.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.082.222.252.3248.08%45.01%44.44%43.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Milwaukee Brewers (Local) : 57.32% ; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur) : 42.68%. Pour Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.34. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.32, pour une espérance de -0.985% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -1.41%E -0.819%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 23:30
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -1.41%E -0.819%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 23:29
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -1.41%E -0.819%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 23:29
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -1.41%E -0.819%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 23:30
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%EV -0.985%E -0.424%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-04 22:49
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 14:43
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 22:00
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 22:40
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.27%E -0.989%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 22:25
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:29
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:29
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:30
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:30
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:29
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -0.985%E -0.424%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 19:25
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.41%E -0.611%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 18:35
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 18:34
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 18:34
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.27%E -0.989%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 17:59
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:29
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:30
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 23:28
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 23:30
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 14:44
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 23:05
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 22:45
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 22:54
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 22:49
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 14:54
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 17:55
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -9.52%E -4.49%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 23:29
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -9.52%E -4.49%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 23:30
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.55%E -1.57%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:28
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 18:15
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:50
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 17:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 17:54
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:30
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:49
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 19:24
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 15:20
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 22:50
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.83%E -2.16%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:49
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.25%E -2.37%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:49
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.25%E -2.37%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:50
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.25%E -2.37%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:05
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 22:49
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:50
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:49
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:49
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:19
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 19:29
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 23:30
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -11.23%E -5.40%K -10.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 23:30
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.99%E -3.65%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:49
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.99%E -3.65%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 22:50
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 23:14
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:44
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 21:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-08-04 23:35
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-04 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-04 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-04 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-04 23:15
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-08-04 23:35
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-04 22:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 19:00
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-04 22:00
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-08-04 22:40