默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Milwaukee Brewers v Pittsburgh Pirates

开赛时间: 2026-08-04 23:40 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Milwaukee Brewers (主队)

预测 57.32%1.74公平赔率
EV -1.41%
优势 -0.819%
Kelly -1.96%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.72

博彩公司预测分布
55.26%57.21%57.34%58.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.681.681.7262.50%59.54%59.52%58.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)

预测 42.68%2.34公平赔率
EV -0.985%
优势 -0.424%
Kelly -0.746%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.32

博彩公司预测分布
41.03%42.79%42.66%44.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.082.222.252.3248.08%45.01%44.44%43.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Milwaukee Brewers (主队):57.32%;Pittsburgh Pirates (客队):42.68%。 对于“Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.34。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.32,期望值为-0.985%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -1.41%E -0.819%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 23:30
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -1.41%E -0.819%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 23:29
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -1.41%E -0.819%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 23:29
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -1.41%E -0.819%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 23:30
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%EV -0.985%E -0.424%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-04 22:49
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 14:43
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 22:00
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 22:40
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.27%E -0.989%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 22:25
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:29
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:29
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:30
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:30
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:29
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -0.985%E -0.424%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 19:25
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.41%E -0.611%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 18:35
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 18:34
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 18:34
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.27%E -0.989%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 17:59
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:29
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:30
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 23:28
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 23:30
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 14:44
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 23:05
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 22:45
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 22:54
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 22:49
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 14:54
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 17:55
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -9.52%E -4.49%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 23:29
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -9.52%E -4.49%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 23:30
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.55%E -1.57%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:28
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 18:15
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:50
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 17:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 17:54
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:30
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:49
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 19:24
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 15:20
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 22:50
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.83%E -2.16%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:49
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.25%E -2.37%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:49
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.25%E -2.37%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:50
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.25%E -2.37%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:05
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 22:49
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:50
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:49
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:49
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:19
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 19:29
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 23:30
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.42%E -3.29%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -11.23%E -5.40%K -10.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 23:30
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.99%E -3.65%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:49
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.99%E -3.65%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 22:50
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 23:14
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:44
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 21:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-08-04 23:35
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-04 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-04 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-04 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-04 23:15
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-08-04 23:35
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-04 22:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 19:00
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-04 22:00
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-08-04 22:40