Language:English
Milwaukee Brewers v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Milwaukee Brewers (Local)
Prediction 65.80%1.52fair odd
EV -0.639%
Edge -0.423%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.29%65.91%65.79%69.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.451.441.5173.53%69.20%69.44%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 34.20%2.92fair odd
EV +3.96%
Edge +1.30%
Kelly +1.94%
Growth +0.077%
assuming max odds 3.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.91%34.09%34.21%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.792.803.0438.17%35.80%35.71%32.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 65.80%; New York Mets (Visit): 34.20%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.04, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.96%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.09%EV -10.51%E -7.73%K -29.19%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.91%EV +3.96%E +1.30%K +1.94%G +0.077% | 6.4% | 2026-07-20 23:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -7.22%E -5.12%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV +0.201%E +0.068%K +0.104%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-20 23:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.825%E -0.285%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-20 22:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.56%E -4.62%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.825%E -0.285%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-20 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.825%E -0.285%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-20 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -1.17%E -0.404%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-20 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -1.17%E -0.404%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-20 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -1.85%E -0.645%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-20 21:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-20 23:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-20 23:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.27%E -2.23%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-20 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-20 21:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-20 20:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-20 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-20 21:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 22:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-20 20:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-20 22:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-20 22:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -3.56%E -1.26%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-20 23:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.639%E -0.423%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.90%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-20 23:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-20 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-20 20:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-20 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-20 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-20 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-20 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-20 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-20 22:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-20 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-20 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-20 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-20 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-20 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-20 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-20 23:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -3.93%E -2.69%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -4.93%E -1.77%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-20 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.93%E -1.77%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-20 19:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -5.61%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-20 19:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-20 10:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-20 15:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.27%E -2.23%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-20 23:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.93%E -2.69%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-20 19:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.93%E -2.69%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-20 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 15:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 15:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-20 23:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-20 10:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-20 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-20 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-20 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.56%E -4.62%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-20 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -3.93%E -2.69%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.98%E -2.57%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 23:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.30%E -0.865%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-20 12:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-20 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-20 21:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.22%E -5.12%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-20 23:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-20 23:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-20 23:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -8.54%E -6.14%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-20 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.40%E -3.97%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-20 21:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 0.2% | 2026-07-20 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 0.2% | 2026-07-20 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 0.2% | 2026-07-20 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-07-20 21:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-07-20 18:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.4% | 2026-07-20 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94% | 1.6% | 2026-07-20 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79% | 2.7% | 2026-07-20 23:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14% | 3.5% | 2026-07-20 23:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27% | 4.2% | 2026-07-20 23:40 |